Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TALAVERA Daena | V V V V | V V V V | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 2 | MASSICK Laine | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 3 | LUO ZIWEN | V V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 3 | NEWHARD Zelia K. | D V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 5 | SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. | V V V D V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 6 | ZHAO Sophie L. | V D V D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 6 | SALINAS Jessica L. | D V D V | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 8 | DEBACK Greta I. | V D V D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 9 | UPTON Sydney | D V V D D | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 10 | SIMPSON Lydia Q. | V D D V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 11 | PFLAUM Philippa J. | D D D V V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 12 | DRAGNE Alexis D. | V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 13 | ZENG Brianna | V D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 14 | KENNEDY Elizabeth | D D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 15 | WILSON Anna S. | D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 16 | BOFFOLI Sarah | D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |