Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LIU Ethan | V V V V V | V V V V | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 2 | ANTONUCCI Suren | V V V V V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 6 | +2.9 |
| 3 | ALLEN Henry G. | V V D V D V | V V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 3 | GUTH Joseph | V V V V V D | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 5 | LIU Yinhong | V V V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 6 | +2.7 |
| 6 | PONTOPPIDAN Erik | D V V V V V | V D | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| 7 | HO CHRISTIAN S. | V D V V V V | V V D | 1.8 | 5 | +3.2 |
| 8 | ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. | V V V D V D | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 9 | DEPP Edward | V D V V D V | V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 10 | MANDZY Theodor | V V V D D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 11 | RUSSELL Paul | D D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 12 | PALMA Nathan Anthony | D V D V V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 13 | RICHARDSON John Thomas | V D D V D V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 14 | LICHTENSTEIGER Megan | V D D V D V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 15 | CULLIVAN Sienna | V D D D V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 16 | ZHENG Marcus | D D D D V D | V D | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 |
| 17 | LI Joseph | V V V V D D | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 18 | IANNI Renato | D V V D V D | D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 19 | MCGRATH Milo | D V D V V D | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 20 | DELONG Ian | D V D D D V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 21 | MANRIQUE Cameron | D D V D D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 22 | KAHN Aaron | V D D D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 23 | WALKER Kaiden | D D D D D V | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 24 | LIN Kevin | D D D D D D | D | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| 25 | TUCKER-HILL Linnea | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 26 | DOELL Ethan | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 27 | MARTIN Wesley | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |