THRUST WINTER RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 8, 2020 at 8:00 AM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PENG Bryan - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
2 OH Triton - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
3 HUANG Alexander C. - - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
3 HUANG Maxwell H. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
5 SHOMAN Zachary - - - 3% 19% 43% 35%
6 SHOMAN Noah - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
7 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
8 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
9 WANG Robert - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
10 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
11 MICLAUS Justin - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
12 SAHAY Kenji - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
13 GRIGORESCU Alexander - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
14 STURN Oliver - - 1% 11% 43% 45%
15 CLARK Gabriel - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
16 ALLARDYCE Lachlan - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
17 ALAVE Kyle - - 1% 7% 28% 47% 17%
18 SHIPITSIN Alexander - - 3% 24% 51% 23%
19 KWALWASSER Eric 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
20 KESSLER Nathan - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
21 SHINCHUK Daniel - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
22 SUBRAMANIAM Oliver C. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
23 LIN Philip T. - 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
24 MERCHANT Milan - 4% 25% 45% 22% 3%
25 ALLARDYCE Graham - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
26 PENG Victor 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4% -
27 HWANG Nathaniel 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
28 BOULAIS Andrew D. - 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1%
29 MARGULIS Jared 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
30 MEDVINSKY Daniel - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 11%
31 TVERSKOY Sam 1% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
32 KAZIMIR Harrison - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
33 MANGAN Daniel Marsh 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
34 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 2% 17% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
35 KLETTER Max 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
36 SINGER Marcus 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
37 VORONOVICH Aleksei 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
38 WONG Caleb W. 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
39 NAYAK Surin K. - 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
40 EYBELMAN Ariel 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
41 LIU Ryan 1% 22% 49% 24% 3% -
42 LEE Andrew 2% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
43 SUGIURA Samuel 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
44 SEN Christian 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
45 GONG Jerry 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
45 TIAGI George 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
47 CARROLL Charles 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
48 NARDINI Nathanael P. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 5%
49 ADAMS Rhys 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
50 MUNGOVAN Matthew 7% 47% 38% 9% 1% -
51 LIM Brandon 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
52 JUNG Ethan 38% 46% 14% 2% - - -
53 WITCZAK Mateus 1% 9% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
54 DOCIL Jack 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
55 BARATY Teagan 58% 35% 7% 1% - - -
56 TAI Roebling 77% 21% 2% - - -
57 BHERWANI Ishaan 7% 36% 39% 15% 2% - -
58 MIRKIS Levi 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
59 GONZALEZ Kal-El 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
60 MENDOZA Diwa 29% 49% 19% 3% - - -
61 LIU Alexander 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
62 DAVIDSON Dean 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.