THRUST WINTER RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, February 8, 2020 at 4:00 PM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
2 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
3 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
3 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
5 FLATT Sophia 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
6 DAI Olivia 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1%
7 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
8 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
9 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
10 XU ALINA 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
11 DONG Angel 100% 100% 95% 69% 25% 3%
12 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
13 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
14 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
15 LI Alexis 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 2% -
16 NAYAK Esha 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% -
17 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
18 ALTIRS Kate 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
19 BOLT-TURNER Carmen 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
20 MUND Ruth 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
21 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
22 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
23 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
24 MALEK Zolie 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1%
25 LIM Alexa J. 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
26 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% -
27 YU Abriella R. 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
28 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
29 SHUMAKIN Alisa 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
30 LIU Yifei 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
31 LAGOON Miriam 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
32 TING Sydney 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
33 WU Allison Y. 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
34 BONFILI Clara 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
35 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
36 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% -
37 SONG Isabelle 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
38 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
39 BUSH Bethany 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
40 MAGITSKY Leila 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
41 CHO Audrey 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
42 FRY Daria 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
43 LIU Chenxin 100% 93% 62% 21% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.