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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

THRUST WINTER RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, February 9, 2020 at 4:00 PM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LILOV Neil - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
2 MORRILL Justin - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
3 LEVIN Mark A. - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
3 MORRILL William - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
5 YEN Preston - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
6 GHOSH Tuhin - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 15%
7 ALKEMPER Tristan H. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
8 HO Kaden M. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
9 HONG Vincent Q. - - 3% 17% 39% 32% 9%
10 KEEFE Duncan - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
11 CHO Brandon - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
12 DENG Andrew 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
13 NOBLE Colin - 3% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
14 FLOT Tai A. - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
15 GARCIA Ryan 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
16 YUAN Kevin - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
17 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
18 MARGULIES William 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
19 EDELMAN Seth A. 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
20 SHTEYN Mark - 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
21 SHOMAN Zachary - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
22 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
23 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
24 SHOMAN Noah - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
25 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
26 ZHENG Edward L. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
27 WAXLER Seth B. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
28 GEORGE Daniel 18% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
29 WANG Charles - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
30 BERMAN Luca - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
30 PANDEY Neil 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
32 FISK Ethan 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
33 SKINNER Graham B. - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
34 KUSHKOV Veniamin - - 1% 8% 30% 45% 16%
35 KOGAN Benjamin - 1% 9% 30% 43% 18%
36 BOURGHOL Matthew 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
37 SAVOY Luca 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
38 COOK Aidan J. 30% 44% 21% 5% 1% - -
39 HUANG Tyler T. 1% 10% 30% 37% 17% 3% -
40 KREGER Evan 8% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
41 LEONARD Charles 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
42 CHAN Alexander S. 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
43 HONG Justin 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
44 WU Wilmund 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
45 SPOSATO Andrew P. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
46 HAN Daniel Y. 2% 22% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
47 GOLDMAN Noah R. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
48 SANDERS Samuel B. 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
49 DOLAN Charles R. 6% 25% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
50 MOULTON Ian 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
51 LIU Mingyang Ryan 13% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
52 TEWES JD 20% 46% 27% 7% 1% - -
53 KASPER Aaron 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
54 PILAT Matthew J. 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
55 OH Triton - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
56 MAKLIN Edward P. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
57 PERRON Robert 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
58 BUCCINO George 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
59 GOLD Jackson - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
60 SHTEIN Yan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
61 YURT Vehbi 81% 18% 1% - - - -
62 HUANG Tom 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
63 FREDRICK Jameer 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
64 ZHANG Yankun 19% 41% 29% 9% 2% - -
65 BURDAN Gabriel 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
66 VISCONTI James 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
67 BRIDGES Benjamin 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.