Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 8:00 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
2 CHEN Oscar - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
3 WILSON Jude - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 CHEN Leo - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
5 JI Cody Walter - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
6 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
7 CONINE Tanner C. - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
8 CHEONG Heonjae - 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9%
9 BERMAN Luca - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
10 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
11 KIM-COGAN Ryan - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
12 GINIS Nathan - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
13 FLOT Tai A. - 1% 14% 37% 36% 12%
14 EICHHORN Lukas H. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
15 SHOMAN Zachary - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
16 PANDEY Neil 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
17 WOODWARD Connor - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
18 XU William - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
19 CHON Taylor A. - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
20 SHERWOOD Hayden F. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
21 DENNER Maximilian P. - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
22 SIMAK Joseph P. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
23 HUANG Ethan F. - - 4% 17% 38% 34% 7%
23 BUCHMANN Finn D. - 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
25 TONG ZACHARY - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
26 CHAN Matthew - - 3% 12% 30% 38% 18%
27 BERRIO Carter E. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
28 DU Gavin J. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
29 SHTEYN Mark - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
30 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - 1% 12% 38% 39% 9%
31 FENG Leo - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
32 HO Kaden M. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
33 SKINNER Graham B. - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
34 BONSELL Vance 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
34 ERMAKOV Lev - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
36 OH Triton - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
37 CHIN Matthew W. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
38 XUE ALEXANDER - - 1% 11% 33% 41% 13%
38 MYLEK Peter - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
40 NOBLE Colin 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
41 ZHENG Edward L. - - 2% 17% 43% 32% 6%
42 KEEFE Duncan - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
43 RESHEIDAT Malik 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
44 LUTHRA Arjun - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
45 WAXLER Seth B. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
45 ZHOU Miles - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
47 KIM Shaun M. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
48 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
49 LEE Justin - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
50 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
51 MORRILL William - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
52 TURCK Caspar J. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
53 CHANG Yufeng 1% 14% 34% 34% 14% 3% -
54 PENG Bryan 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
54 SAGARDI David - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
56 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% 1%
57 COLE Alexander - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
58 BLEYMAN David 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
59 FIELDS Matthew S. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
60 MORALES Jonathan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
61 HOLZ Daniel - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
62 WANG Robert - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
63 HOPPA Luke H. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
64 LIU Mingyang Ryan 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
65 YANG Duncan - - 2% 9% 28% 39% 22%
66 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
67 CLYMER Lucas Y. - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 3%
68 RUIGOMEZ Eduardo 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
69 ZHANG Jeffrey - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
70 HUANG Alexander C. 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
71 GUZZO Vito - 3% 23% 41% 27% 6%
72 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
73 GHENEA George Philipe - 5% 26% 41% 24% 4%
74 LEE Aydan J. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
75 RODE Leon J. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
76 WELLS Griffin - 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
77 WANG Charles - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
78 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
78 WANG Andy - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
80 LEONARD Charles - 3% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1%
81 DENG Andrew - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
82 CHAVES Matthew J. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
83 MAY Griffin M. 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
84 SPOSATO Andrew P. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
85 CHOI Silas - - 5% 20% 38% 31% 6%
86 DOLAN Charles R. 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
87 KASPER Aaron - 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
88 BRIDGES Benjamin 9% 35% 36% 16% 4% - -
88 MCCLUNG Gavin 5% 35% 40% 17% 3% - -
90 HONG Steven - 3% 19% 40% 31% 7%
91 KILGALLEN William 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
92 ZHANG Derek 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
93 ETIN Ari - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
94 SANDERS Samuel B. 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
95 MALONE Gregory D. - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
95 LU Caleb Q. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
95 WANG Andrew 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
98 YU Thomas - 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
99 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. - 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% -
100 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
101 VAUGHN Jason - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% -
102 DOWNEY Baran 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
103 PIWOWAR Alex 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
104 MARGULIES William 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
105 BAE Jason I. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
106 LIN Steve 2% 22% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
107 CARTAGENA Caden A. - 4% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
108 SHOMAN Noah - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
109 YEE Evan J. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
110 GUAN Luke 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
111 GERSTMANN Max T. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
112 HUANG Maxwell H. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
113 SULLIVAN Aidan J. 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
114 LIU Christopher X. 3% 14% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
115 SAVOY Luca 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
116 SU Landon - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
117 COX Luis E. 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
118 WANG Nicolas - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
119 GAUVEY Kieran - 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
120 THORNHILL Kwasi - 8% 32% 39% 18% 3%
121 PERRON Robert 11% 60% 24% 4% - -
122 GIANETTO Ethan K. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
123 REN James 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
124 ZHANG Ethan W. 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
125 CHEONG Heonjun 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
126 WU Richard 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
127 PILLAI Jay K. 26% 45% 23% 5% - - -
128 LYHUS Evan G. 20% 48% 26% 6% 1% - -
129 HUANG Tom 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
130 ZENG Noah - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
131 GOLDMAN Noah R. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
132 ZHUANG Rayken 1% 10% 35% 39% 14% 2% -
133 LAU Justin Y. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
134 CHAN Aidan 1% 36% 42% 17% 3% -
135 HOLZ William A. - 5% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2%
136 BAERMAN Michael 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
136 BAGHERI Shaheen 14% 49% 30% 6% 1% - -
138 GAO Albert - - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
139 DILLE Jackson K. 1% 36% 42% 17% 3% - -
140 GILSON Lucas B. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
141 BROU Inkosi 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
142 TIAGI Daniel 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
143 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 20% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
144 JORGESON Charlie 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
145 CRAIG Samuel 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
146 VOSS Jeffer 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
147 HEANEY Sam 10% 42% 35% 12% 2% - -
148 SZCZESNY Mikolaj 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
149 HIREMATH Kushal - 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
150 HUNG Samuel 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
151 CANNON Logan T. 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
152 LIU Lawrence 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
153 LIN Hadrian 16% 50% 27% 6% 1% - -
154 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
155 SUGIURA Samuel 1% 11% 39% 37% 11% 1% -
156 ZHOU Hudson L. 17% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
157 LANNAMAN Connor 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
158 LEMPERT Adam 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
159 MOULTON Ian 24% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
160 SHANKWILER Christopher 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
160 TIAGI George 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -
162 CHEN Jia Tao 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
163 MEHTA Krish 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
164 DUCKETT Myles < 1% 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
165 SMINK Oliver 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
165 LIM William J. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
167 LARRAZOLO Vincent 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
168 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
169 LIGH Checed 42% 41% 15% 2% - -
170 LEE Aidan S. 4% 19% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
170 CLARK Keagan 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
172 GOLD Carter 76% 22% 2% - - - -
173 RUSSELL Clark 95% 5% - - - -
174 MEYTIN Maxwell S. 59% 35% 6% - - - -
174 HOTHA Nikhil 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
174 BOSITA Carson 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
177 GONG Jerry 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
177 JOYCE cameron 58% 35% 6% - - - -
179 LAGASSE Jack T. 78% 21% 1% - - -
180 MAJESKI Andrew 17% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
180 TAUER Sam 68% 28% 4% - - - -
180 STOLPER Max 67% 28% 5% - - - -
183 LIU ALAN 94% 6% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.