National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MANSKE Niul S. | V V V V D | V V V V V | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 2 | WHEELER Daniel | V V D D V | V V V V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 3 | CHERNYSHOV Max | V D V V D V | V V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 3 | CHENG Thomas | V V V V V D | V V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 5 | NEMAZIE David A. | V V V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 6 | DEUCHER Joseph H. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 7 | GUMAGAY Paul | V D V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 8 | HUGHES Michael D. | D V V V D D | V V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 9 | PANTEL Richard | V V V D V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | DILLE Brice | V D V V V V | V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 11 | BUTLER R. Stockton | V V D V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 12 | BOYKO Frank C. | D V V V D V | V D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 13 | RICHARDSON Scott | D V D V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 14 | MARKOWITZ William M. | V D D D V V | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 15 | SMITH Herman E. | D D D V V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 16 | SCHROEDER William | D D D V D D | V V D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 17 | CHEN Chang-Rung | V V V V V V | D | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| 18 | WAGMAN Robert S. | D V V V V | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 | |
| 19 | EVANS Allen L. | V D D V V V | D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 20 | SANTOS Felipe | V V D D V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 21 | DESAMOURS Georges H. | V V V D D V | D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 22 | HENRY Mark R. | D D V V V | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 23 | HOU Phi | V V D V D | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 24 | LOGAN Mark P. | D V V D V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 25 | REID Michael | V D V D D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 26 | KIM Jeff | D V D D V D | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 27 | CAFASSO martin | D D D D V V | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 28 | CORINALDI Greg | V D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 29 | PARY Theodore | D V D D D | V D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 30 | TKACH Robert W. | D D D V D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 31 | GRENKE Brad | D D D D D | V D | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| 32 | DOUGLAS Michael A. | D D D D D | V D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| 33 | GILLESPIE Jeremy W. | V D V D D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 34 | STONE Ken | V D V D D D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 35 | HERNANDEZ Agustin | D D V D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 36 | TATE Leon J. | D D D V D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 37 | HVIDING Ketil | D V D D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 38 | HOFFMAN Shane C. | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 39 | DELGADO Ricardo J. | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.