The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 1:00 PM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
2 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
3 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 53% 12%
3 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
5 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
6 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
7 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
8 XIAO julie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
9 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
9 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
11 WU Helen 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
12 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
13 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 23%
14 KOHLBERGER Noelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
15 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
16 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
17 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
18 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
19 DAI TONGXI 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
20 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
21 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
22 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
23 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
24 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
25 XU ALINA 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
26 WEI JoyAnn 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
27 MURRAY Audrey A. 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
28 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
29 CHOU Amy R. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
30 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
31 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
32 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
33 YANG Lea 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
34 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 4%
35 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 19%
36 MARYASH Samantha 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
37 ZHANG Sophie 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
38 ZHOU Ruoxi ( Jasmine) 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
39 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% - -
40 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 5%
41 MYAT Chloe 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
42 CHEN Kevy 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
43 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
44 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
45 CANSECO Carly 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
46 BUSH Bethany 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
47 DAI Olivia 100% 99% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
48 CAO Sophie 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
49 BELEV Christa 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
50 BRIATORE Francesca 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
51 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
52 DEHON Inès 100% 99% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
53 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6% 1%
54 HOWARD Veronica 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
54 WU Yuwei 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
56 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
57 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
58 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
59 BUSH Divina 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
60 FOWLER Amaia 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
61 CHAN Jolene 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
62 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 12% 2%
63 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
64 HUANG Doris 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
65 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
66 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
67 NAYAK Esha 100% 85% 45% 14% 2% - -
68 POLSTON Ella 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
69 NEUMAN Ella 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
70 KHOST Maeve 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
71 LI Alexis 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
72 MUND Ruth 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
73 CHO Audrey 100% 93% 62% 17% 2% -
74 HSU leah 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
75 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
76 CHEN Elaine 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
77 TING Sydney 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
78 LEE Tammy 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -
79 HOLTSBERG Ava 100% 31% 4% - - - -
80 COLLINS Margaret L. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
81 CHO Kaeli M. 100% 97% 45% 10% 1% - -
81 WANG Callie 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
83 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 83% 33% 6% - -
84 DANTULURI Shivani 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
85 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
86 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 94% 43% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.