Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, January 20, 2020 at 8:00 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OH Triton - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
2 GAO Albert - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
3 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
3 CHOI Silas - - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
5 KIM Shaun M. - - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
6 REN James - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
7 GAUVEY Kieran 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
8 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
9 TURCK Caspar J. - - 1% 9% 33% 45% 12%
10 CHEONG Heonjun - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
11 WANG Robert - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
12 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
13 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
14 BERA Enzo - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
15 LIN Steve - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
16 ANAND Sahil Z. - - 4% 26% 43% 23% 4%
17 HOLZ Daniel - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
18 HUANG Alexander C. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
19 LEE Aydan J. - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
20 LIU Lawrence - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
21 BROU Inkosi - - 3% 18% 40% 31% 7%
22 HUANG Maxwell H. - - 4% 16% 35% 35% 9%
23 SHOMAN Noah - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
24 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
25 ZHANG Derek - 2% 14% 37% 34% 11% 1%
25 DUCKETT Myles - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
27 ZHENG Edward L. - - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
28 PRIMUS Nazir - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
29 SHOMAN Zachary - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
30 PATEL Rayn - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
31 SU Landon - - 3% 17% 40% 32% 8%
32 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6% -
33 ZENG Noah - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
34 VAUGHN Jason - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
35 STURN Oliver - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
36 WANG Nicolas - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
37 CARRINGTON IV William T. - - - 5% 26% 46% 23%
38 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
39 WANG Oscar 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
40 HIREMATH Kushal - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
41 MANGAN Daniel Marsh 11% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
42 DOWNEY Baran - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 7%
43 PENG Bryan - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
44 LEE Aidan S. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
45 ZHANG Ethan W. - - 9% 38% 38% 13% 1%
46 MICLAUS Justin - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
47 JOO Jeein - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
48 ALAVE Kyle - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9%
48 SHANKWILER Christopher - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
50 GUYDOUK Alexey 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
51 GONG Jerry 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
52 TIAGI George 10% 46% 33% 9% 1% - -
53 ANDRES Michael - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
54 OH Aster 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
55 HU Christopher - 1% 4% 18% 34% 32% 11%
56 CRAIG Samuel - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11%
57 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
58 WU Richard - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
59 DECK Tyson 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
60 CANNON Logan T. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
61 SAGE Sebastian - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
62 HOTHA Nikhil 20% 41% 28% 9% 2% - -
63 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
64 HOLZ Lucas 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
65 NAYAK Surin K. 4% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1%
66 LEMPERT Adam - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
67 MOYD Aaron - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
68 KANG evan 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
69 GUAN Dennis 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
70 YU Thomas 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
71 FATTEH-PATIL Armaan 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
72 SUGIURA Samuel 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% -
73 GREENBAUM Max B. 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
74 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
75 IDRISSI Idris 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
76 WITCZAK Mateus 2% 16% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
76 SUBRAMANIAM Oliver C. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
78 LARRAZOLO Evan 2% 18% 52% 24% 4% - -
79 GUREVICH Savely 11% 37% 37% 13% 2% - -
80 COURTIN Frederic 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
81 WANG Max 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
82 FRUTH Evan 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
83 SUN Andrew 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
84 ZHAO Anthony 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
85 LIN Philip T. 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
86 HUNG Samuel 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
87 LIM William J. 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
88 CHEN Jia Tao 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
89 KLETTER Max 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
90 CLARK Aram - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
91 WANG Andrew 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
92 YEE Ethan C. - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
93 CRAIG Andrew - 3% 16% 38% 32% 10% 1%
94 YAN William 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
95 ATWOOD Griffin 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
96 HE Bowen 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
97 PEREIRA Beckham 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% 1%
98 HALL Noah 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 2% -
99 ERMAKOV Semeon - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
99 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
101 KIM Ethan - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
102 CLARK Gabriel - 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 3%
103 BARNARD Ven B. 5% 27% 44% 20% 4% - -
104 TSAO Oliver 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
105 TURONE Julien 1% 12% 38% 37% 11% 1%
106 BAKALOV Alex 12% 39% 35% 12% 2% -
107 BOSITA Carson 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
108 LIGH Checed 5% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
109 WONG Caleb W. 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
110 MARGULIS Jared 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
111 SAPIR Alex 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
112 GUREVICH Benjamin - 2% 12% 36% 36% 13% 1%
113 LIU Alexander 30% 48% 19% 3% - - -
114 SONG Tony 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
115 SUN Ziyao 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
115 LIU Marvin 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
117 XU Ivan 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
118 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
119 PRIEUR Christian F. 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
119 FTAIHA Ezra 35% 53% 12% - - - -
121 DOSTAL Maximilian 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
122 GERSTMANN Max T. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
123 JORGESON Charlie 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% - -
124 LEE Thomas 35% 47% 16% 2% - - -
125 NORTON Benjamin 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
126 BAGHERI Bijan 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
127 GARDNER Sebastian 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
128 ZUCKER Jonah 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
129 MENDOZA Diwa 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
130 NARDINI Nathanael P. - 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3%
131 SUN Bill 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
132 SINGER Marcus 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
133 JUNG Ethan 49% 38% 11% 2% - -
133 HAPP Braeden 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
135 TAI Roebling 45% 46% 9% - - - -
136 BARATY Teagan 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
136 GUZZO Delano 7% 33% 38% 18% 3% - -
138 LIU Ryan 34% 43% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.