Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, January 20, 2020 at 8:00 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
2 GAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
3 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 31%
5 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
6 REN James 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
7 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
8 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
9 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 12%
10 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
11 WANG Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
12 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
13 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
14 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
15 LIN Steve 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
16 ANAND Sahil Z. 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 27% 4%
17 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
18 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
19 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
20 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
21 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
22 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 9%
23 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
24 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
25 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
25 DUCKETT Myles 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
27 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
28 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
29 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
30 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
31 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
32 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
33 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
34 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
35 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
36 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
37 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 23%
38 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
39 WANG Oscar 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
40 HIREMATH Kushal 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
41 MANGAN Daniel Marsh 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
42 DOWNEY Baran 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
43 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
44 LEE Aidan S. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
45 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 100% 91% 52% 14% 1%
46 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
47 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
48 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
48 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
50 GUYDOUK Alexey 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
51 GONG Jerry 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
52 TIAGI George 100% 90% 44% 10% 1% - -
53 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
54 OH Aster 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
55 HU Christopher 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
56 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
57 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
58 WU Richard 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
59 DECK Tyson 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
60 CANNON Logan T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 25% 4%
61 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
62 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
63 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
64 HOLZ Lucas 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
65 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1%
66 LEMPERT Adam 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
67 MOYD Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
68 KANG evan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
69 GUAN Dennis 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
70 YU Thomas 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
71 FATTEH-PATIL Armaan 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
72 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
73 GREENBAUM Max B. 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
74 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
75 IDRISSI Idris 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
76 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 98% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
76 SUBRAMANIAM Oliver C. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
78 LARRAZOLO Evan 100% 98% 80% 28% 4% - -
79 GUREVICH Savely 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% - -
80 COURTIN Frederic 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
81 WANG Max 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
82 FRUTH Evan 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
83 SUN Andrew 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
84 ZHAO Anthony 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
85 LIN Philip T. 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
86 HUNG Samuel 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
87 LIM William J. 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
88 CHEN Jia Tao 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
89 KLETTER Max 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
90 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
91 WANG Andrew 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
92 YEE Ethan C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
93 CRAIG Andrew 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 11% 1%
94 YAN William 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
95 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
96 HE Bowen 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
97 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
98 HALL Noah 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2% -
99 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
99 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
101 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
102 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3%
103 BARNARD Ven B. 100% 95% 68% 24% 4% - -
104 TSAO Oliver 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
105 TURONE Julien 100% 99% 87% 49% 12% 1%
106 BAKALOV Alex 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% -
107 BOSITA Carson 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% 1% -
108 LIGH Checed 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
109 WONG Caleb W. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
110 MARGULIS Jared 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1% -
111 SAPIR Alex 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
112 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 14% 1%
113 LIU Alexander 100% 70% 22% 3% - - -
114 SONG Tony 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% 1% -
115 SUN Ziyao 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
115 LIU Marvin 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
117 XU Ivan 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
118 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
119 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
119 FTAIHA Ezra 100% 65% 12% 1% - - -
121 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
122 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
123 JORGESON Charlie 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% - -
124 LEE Thomas 100% 65% 18% 2% - - -
125 NORTON Benjamin 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
126 BAGHERI Bijan 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% - -
127 GARDNER Sebastian 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
128 ZUCKER Jonah 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
129 MENDOZA Diwa 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
130 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
131 SUN Bill 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
132 SINGER Marcus 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% - -
133 JUNG Ethan 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
133 HAPP Braeden 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
135 TAI Roebling 100% 55% 9% - - - -
136 BARATY Teagan 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
136 GUZZO Delano 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% - -
138 LIU Ryan 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.