National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | MARX Jackson L. | V V V V V V | V V V V V V | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
2 | XU Jia Bao (Bowen) | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
3 | ALLEN Henry G. | V D D D V V | V V V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
3 | YU Jason | D V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
5 | QIAN Jason H. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
6 | TANG Alexander L. | D V V V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
6 | LIU Ethan | D V V V V V | V V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
8 | MCALLISTER thomas | V V D V D D | V V V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
9 | ZHANG Aaron | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
10 | ZHANG Alex | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
11 | GERRISH William | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
12 | MAO Lucas | D V V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
13 | YAO Bradley | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
14 | GULCHIN Mark | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
15 | CHEN Kyle P. | V V V V D V | V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
16 | LEE Brendan | V D V V D V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
17 | HONG Logan | V V V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
18 | WONG Jackson | V V V V V V | V D | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
19 | GUTH Joseph | V D V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
20 | SUAREZ Adrian | D V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
21 | SENIC Lucas | V V V V V D | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
22 | RAJ Jay | V D D V V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
23 | SIMONOV Timofey | V D V V D V | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
24 | ZHAO Adam | V D V V D V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
25 | SHIM Peter S. | V D D V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
26 | MO Ethan | V V V D D V | V D | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
27 | BERNARD Cohen | V V D V D D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
28 | ADAN Jacobo | V V D V D D | V D | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
29 | TAN Aidan | V V D V D D | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
30 | SUI Samuel | D V V D D D | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
31 | CHA James | D V V D D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
32 | ZENG Rick | D D D D V V | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
33 | WONG Jacob W. | V V D V V D | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
33 | KOKES William | V V V D D V | D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
35 | KIAYIAS Aris | V V V D V D | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
36 | KARPESHOV Maddox | V V D D V D | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
37 | NORMILE Nicholas | V V D D V D | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
38 | GEOGHEGAN Logan | V D D V V D | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
39 | FOGELSON Hugh | D V D D V V | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
40 | PALMA Nathan Anthony | D D D V V D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
41 | KOE Beckett | V D D D D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
42 | TANG Royce | D V D D D V | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
43 | VADEN Oliver | D V D V D D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
44 | PENTON Ivan | D D D V V D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
45 | YEVDAYEV Tamir | D D D D V V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
46 | CATINO William | D D D V V D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
47 | CHO Xzander | D D V D V D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
48 | TAI Ethan | V D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
49 | ONIK Ari N. | D D V D D D | D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
50 | VEDRE-KYANAM KABIR BAIG Aaradhya | D D D D V D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
50 | TAI Justin | D D V D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
52 | CHONG Tristan | D V D D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
53 | PISTUN Nicholas | D D D V D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
54 | YU William | D D D D D V | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
55 | SHAW Spencer | D D V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
56 | MOY Madison | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
57 | ALEXANDER John | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
57 | MOSS Barry | D D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
59 | JIN Andy | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
60 | BLACK Henry | D D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
61 | SCHULTZ Oliver | D D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
61 | CAO Jorden | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
61 | LIU Robert | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.