AIC Senior Open Tournament

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 8, 2020 at 9:00 AM

AIC Fencing Club - Herndon, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HUANG Dongrong 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
2 YU Jonathan J. 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
3 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
3 BAROCHIA Meera 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
5 TALAGALA Roshan J. 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
6 DUELL Jacob P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
7 HORSLEY Alexander 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
8 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
9 CRAYTON Royce S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
10 MULLIGAN Timothy (Tim) D. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
11 GU Jeffrey 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
12 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
13 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
14 SMITH V Edward (Quin) A. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
15 BEAR Myles A. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
16 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
17 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
18 CAPUTO Paul M. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
19 EDWARDS Mark S. 100% 94% 69% 30% 5% -
20 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
21 GIBBS David 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% -
22 PANTEL Richard 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
23 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
24 KOROTCOVA Anastasia 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.