CT State High School Individual Championships 2020

Women's Épée

Sunday, March 1, 2020 at 10:45 AM

Guilford High School - Guilford, CT, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 VINE Melissa 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
2 GANGEMI Julia 100% 84% 45% 12% 1%
3 BANNING Grace 100% 95% 68% 24% 3%
4 GLASSMAN Sophie 100% 100% 96% 73% 26%
5 HARDGROVE Jade 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
6 MORIN Jenna 100% 96% 69% 16%
7 ZIEMINSKI Julia 100% 100% 97% 73% 26%
8 ASNES Caroline 100% 97% 72% 22%
9 BALSKUS Sophia 100% 100% 95% 71% 20%
10 LI Amy 100% 71% 29% 6% -
12 BATTLE Eryn 100% 95% 67% 20%
13 SANG Ruohan 100% 84% 42% 9% -
15 JUONI Jessica 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
16 KOZAK Lillian (Barbara) 100% 97% 73% 30% 4%
18 GOU Jenny 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
19 COTE Kat 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
21 WILHELM Marsela 100% 100% 95% 68% 20%
22 LESNIK Alexandra 100% 98% 80% 37% 4%
23 BARRY Madison 100% 92% 62% 24% 4%
25 LIMAURO Mary 100% 100% 92% 60% 18%
26 APPLEBEE Andralyn 100% 83% 42% 10% 1%
27 SYLVIA Morgan 100% 98% 81% 37%
28 BARANOSKY Grace 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
30 PESTEY Alli K. 100% 60% 17% 2%
33 MORRISSEY Lilly 100% 95% 71% 32% 5%
34 SCROGGINS Lila 100% 97% 77% 39% 9%
37 TREAT Amelia 100% 85% 42% 10% 1%
38 WANG Angel 100% 89% 53% 17% 2%
43 SMINKEY Ashlyn 100% 88% 51% 14% 1%
45 BEEBE Heidi 100% 85% 46% 12% 1%
47 BARRON Gina 100% 94% 66% 24% 3%
48 ST. PETER Isabella 100% 95% 58% 9%
49 GRIFFOR Tessa 100% 85% 47% 13% 1%
49 NUTERANGELO Sophia 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
53 MAIN Brooke 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
54 WARRINGTON Thomasina 100% 52% 11% 1%
56 BUNKELMAN Amelia 100% 92% 56% 17% 1%
57 DARMAWAN Tiffany 100% 86% 34% 4%
58 OUKASSI Yousra 100% 91% 51% 14% 1%
59 DEGUZMAN Jaimee 100% 96% 74% 30% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.