Battle of the Bay DIV1A ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, February 2, 2020 at 11:30 AM

San Jose, CA - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 TAYLOR Audrey Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 20%
3 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
3 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
5 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
6 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
7 SMIK Leonie A. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
8 ROTHMAN-HALL Bronwyn R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
9 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
10 WILEY Erica 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
11 POPOVICI Alina B. 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
12 QURESHI Aafreen 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
13 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 100% 100% 90% 56% 16%
14 JIN Jasmine 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
15 ERTAS Eileen 100% 100% 96% 72% 26% 3%
16 CHANG Heidi 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
17 HEPLER Sarah 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
18 RYAN Minhuey 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
19 HABERKERN Kundry E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
20 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 10%
21 SOIN Anika A. 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 3%
22 SIVAGAR Fiona 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 10% 1%
23 STOJANOVIC Mina 100% 100% 98% 75% 33% 6%
24 ZHANG Chuyi 100% 99% 88% 44% 10% 1%
25 CHIRASHNYA Noya 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
26 PACHECO Naomi 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
27 LI Charlotte 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
28 RASMUSSEN Ashelee 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
29 LYNCH Kristin A. 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
30 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
31 HAU Olivia 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
32 KULASOORIYA Sonia 100% 80% 21% 2% - -
33 BLOOMER Suzanne 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
34 FELAND Alexandra 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
35 LEE Kaitlyn M. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
36 SCHMID Carola K. 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
37 YIN Grace 100% 88% 36% 7% 1% -
38 HABERMAN Hailey 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
39 DANIEL Olivia 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
40 BONDAR Nika 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
41 LOUIE Sarah 100% 33% 2% - - -
42 MUNEYB Muntaha Sana 100% 51% 9% 1% - -
43 RICH Caroline B. 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
44 WILLIAMS Sarah 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
45 NANTON SHYAMALA M. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
46 KULASOORIYA Sofia 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
47 GNANASEKAT Arti 100% 73% 20% 2% - -
48 LIN Ashley 100% 32% 3% - - -
49 STANICA Teodora O. 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
50 GUPTA Sanya 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
51 SHI Ava 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.