USA Fencing Baltimore SJCC Tournament

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, March 1, 2020 at 8:00 AM

Baltimore, MD - Baltimore, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZHANG Tina	-	-	3%	16%	42%	38%
2	MAO Amy	-	1%	7%	24%	37%	25%	5%
3	WADE-CURRIE Ava S.	-	-	-	2%	14%	40%	43%
3	LUO Ashley	-	2%	14%	33%	36%	14%
5	DROVETSKY Alexandra M.	-	-	1%	12%	42%	44%
6	CHAN Elizabeth	1%	9%	28%	37%	21%	5%
7	NING Emma	-	-	3%	21%	47%	29%
8	KIM Erika S.	1%	7%	25%	36%	24%	7%	1%
9	KIM Elizabeth Y.	-	3%	16%	37%	35%	9%
10	MING Cynthia	1%	7%	31%	42%	17%	2%
11	LOWENSTEIN Penelope J.	-	-	1%	9%	30%	42%	18%
12	BECCHINA Olivia	-	3%	15%	33%	33%	14%	2%
13	PAPADAKIS Lily	1%	7%	27%	40%	21%	3%
14	DESAI Meera P.	-	7%	26%	37%	23%	5%
15	REID Sobia	-	1%	11%	34%	41%	13%
16	GU Sarah	-	-	1%	7%	26%	43%	23%
17	GUJJA Misha	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%	-
18	HOSANAGAR Inchara	13%	35%	34%	15%	3%	-	-
19	KIM Diane E.	-	-	4%	21%	46%	28%
20	LEE Yedda	1%	7%	27%	39%	22%	4%
21	GUMAGAY Erika L.	-	1%	5%	21%	39%	28%	7%
22	RICHARDSON Lauren C.	4%	21%	36%	28%	9%	1%	-
23	SINGH Aayushi	27%	50%	20%	3%	-	-
24	YU Bailey	5%	25%	41%	24%	5%	-
25	GAJJALA Sharika R.	-	5%	22%	37%	28%	8%
26	OGAWA Kaylin	2%	20%	38%	29%	10%	1%
27	ZENG Katrina	6%	29%	39%	21%	5%	-
28	LIN Elaine	31%	44%	21%	4%	-	-
29	LIU Nicole	17%	42%	30%	9%	1%	-	-
30	LU Samantha R.	1%	12%	39%	36%	11%	1%
31	WAN Runxi	39%	45%	14%	2%	-	-
32	HU Chelsea	17%	42%	31%	9%	1%	-
33	GAO Judy	-	6%	23%	36%	26%	8%	1%
34	FURMAN Maria	4%	25%	40%	25%	6%	-
35	CASPAR Margot	46%	40%	12%	2%	-	-
36	MACEDON Gianna	33%	44%	19%	4%	-	-	-
37	CHEN yue	66%	29%	5%	-	-	-
38	ZHENG Linden	15%	37%	33%	13%	2%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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