January NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, January 3, 2020 at 11:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
2 WALKER Christopher J. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 BIVINS III George A. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
3 HARVEY Nicholas J. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
5 REN Junming - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
6 SKEETE Kamar A. - - - 1% 7% 33% 58%
7 SMITH Jared C. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
8 KIM Stephen E. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
9 KIM Brian S. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
10 HARLEY Colby A. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
11 CHAYEVSKY Kirk - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
12 PARK Donghwan - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
13 KARAM Tariq A. - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
14 DINU Nicholas D. - 4% 18% 38% 31% 9%
15 ATTIG Will T. - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
16 LIMB Matthew G. - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
17 KULDELL Spencer D. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
18 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
19 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
20 WOOD Elden S. 1% 9% 24% 34% 23% 8% 1%
21 YEN Darren - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
22 DANNULL Lukas J. 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
23 SOLOMON Daniel P. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
24 NADILE Henry V. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
24 LEUNG Mark - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
26 SCHMITT Trenton R. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
27 LIU kelly 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
28 KIM Avery J. - 5% 23% 41% 25% 5%
29 MA Jonathan D. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
30 TRAVERS Samir T. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
31 JOHNSON Andrew J. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
32 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
33 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. - - - - 3% 23% 74%
34 KIM Charlson - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
35 BOLTON Braydon A. - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
36 TONG Qilin - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
37 DENNER Lysander H. - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
38 BASALYGA Jeffrey - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
39 JI Cody Walter - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
40 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
41 OSOLINIEC Victor E. - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
42 D'ORAZIO Joseph 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
43 ZU Kevin 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
44 HONG Marshall Q. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
45 MENG Bolang B. - - - 4% 19% 46% 31%
46 MERCHANT Marcel J. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
47 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
48 LIM Ryan Y. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
48 BERGER Oliver 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
50 SHEPANEK Noah M. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
51 ZHOU Matthew R. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
52 GILES Jeremy M. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
52 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Akhil 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
54 KIM Sean G. - 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
55 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
56 QIU Le 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
57 SMITH David C. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
58 MOON Sean H. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
59 HU William - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
60 LIANG Connor - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
61 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
62 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
63 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
64 HAMMERSTROM Jared 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
65 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
66 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
67 KOKOSINSKI Eryk - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
68 ZHOU Justin 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1%
69 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
70 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
71 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
72 KIM Minwook - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
73 RICE Vaughn A. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
74 WIND Nicky E. - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
75 LIN John A. - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
76 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
77 TAKEMARU Leo - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
78 MULVANEY Alec S. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
79 YANG Ziyi - 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
80 DAMMER Mark W. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
81 HUSSAIN Faaris 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
82 RAMAN Easwer 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
83 LAI Adam J. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
83 YANG Kevin S. 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
85 ZHANG Michael M. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 8% 1%
86 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
86 SOHN Kevin J. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 1%
88 CHENIER Marc-Olivier - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
89 VASILYEV Nikita K. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
90 MEHTA Sachin N. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
91 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
92 MURZYN III CJ 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% -
93 ESCUETA Tony V. 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
94 KANARY Logan A. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
95 SINGER Carson - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
96 CHEN Brian 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
97 CHAN Daniel 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
98 DHINGRA Gian K. 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
99 ALTIRS Alexander 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
100 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
101 JULIEN William A - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
102 POPE Nico 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
103 DANNULL Linus N. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
103 SAKHAMURI Surya 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
105 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
105 DEMAREST Iain - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
107 CHIN Matthew W. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
107 SHI Andrew - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
109 CHO Brandon 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
110 PRIEST Leighton K. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
111 BARNETT Adam - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
112 LINSKY Matthew 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
113 STEINMETZ John 34% 40% 19% 5% 1% - -
114 GREENBAUM Ian L. 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
115 KOVACS Christian 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
115 HAN Nicholas - 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
117 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
118 TANG Alex Y. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
119 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
120 YAO Jonathan - 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
121 IWAMOTO Eric Y. - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
122 DU Gavin J. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
123 RIVERA Inigo Franco - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
124 PARKHURST Jr Michael 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
125 YUAN Ronald I. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
126 HARRIS Alex K. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
127 GEFELL Andrew P. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
128 MIKA Casper - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
129 WUN William 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
130 CHOU Stephen C. - 2% 13% 31% 36% 16% 1%
131 GANTA Vijay - 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
132 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
133 PEDERSEN Leif 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
134 DENNER Maximilian P. 2% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
135 NG Jonathan H. 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
136 DODRILL Grant - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
137 YOUNG Nash 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
138 SHIN Richard J.H. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
139 ROBERTS Sam 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
140 KOUNALAKIS Antoneo T. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
141 MENSAH Kennedy C 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
142 PAN Andrew W. 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
143 QUAN Nicholas 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
144 CHU Cameron 12% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
145 ZHOU Kevin 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% -
146 BARTOLO Domenic V. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2%
147 MARSEE James - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
148 HAMMER Peter A. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
149 LI Joshua L. 10% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
150 OWENS William 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 3% -
151 KIM Benjamin H. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
151 TRINH Trevor Z. 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
153 CHU Devin 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
154 PORTMANN Stein J. - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
155 LEE Kyle - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
156 BENAVRAM Lev C. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
157 NOBLE Daniel 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
157 XU Ryan 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
159 HOUTZ Jackson 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
160 RAJA Arnav 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
160 JACOB Bret 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
162 WOODWARD Connor 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
163 GRASS James D. 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
164 NIL Michael Y. 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
165 CHANG Eliot A. 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
166 RESHEIDAT Malik 6% 34% 38% 18% 4% - -
167 LUO ZIRUI 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
168 LAHOTSKA Yahor 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
169 LIN William 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
170 BAILEY Asher 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
171 DESAI Drewv D. 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
172 RICH Jack 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
173 LASORSA Matthew 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
174 TONG ZACHARY 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
175 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
176 BELSER Bryce S. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
177 FLORES Peter D. 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
178 JEFFORDS Alexander 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
179 DROZ Camden J. - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
180 HUDDY Brandon J. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
180 CHAN Matthew 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
180 NGUYEN Andrew 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
183 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
184 TRACY Jahi 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
185 MORREALE John 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
186 HONG Steven 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
187 KENNEDY Liam A. 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
188 HARLEY Sage N. 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
189 BOLTON Dawson E. - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
190 LIU Jesse Y. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
190 XU Michael 50% 38% 11% 2% - - -
192 HURST Alexander 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
192 LAURIN Charles-Antoine 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
194 BUKOWSKI Bronson 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
195 MAHONEY Colin M. 4% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
196 RAI Avin 1% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
197 NEUHEARDT Peter 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
198 MOLINARO Lawrence 65% 30% 5% - - - -
199 SMITLEY Tyler J. 10% 37% 38% 13% 2% -
200 KOKKIN Jack S. 5% 26% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
201 SIMAK Joseph P. 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
202 MARGIL Matthew 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
202 STONE Christopher A. 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
204 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
204 JIANG Kevin 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
204 ZHOU Miles 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
207 LEE Jude H. 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
208 VILLARREAL Mateo 58% 34% 8% 1% - - -
209 FORT David 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
209 YANG Ethan 63% 31% 5% - - - -
209 RENGER Felipe 93% 7% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.