January NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, January 3, 2020 at 11:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 WALKER Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
5 REN Junming 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
6 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
7 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
8 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
9 KIM Brian S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
10 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
11 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
12 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
13 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
14 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
15 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
16 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
17 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
18 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 66% 26%
19 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
20 WOOD Elden S. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
21 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
22 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
23 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
24 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
24 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 11%
26 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
27 LIU kelly 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
28 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 5%
29 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
30 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 1%
31 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
32 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
33 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
34 KIM Charlson 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
35 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 1%
36 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
37 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
38 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
39 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
40 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
41 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
42 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
43 ZU Kevin 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
44 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
45 MENG Bolang B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
46 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
47 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 12%
48 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
48 BERGER Oliver 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
50 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
51 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
52 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
52 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Akhil 100% 99% 88% 58% 25% 6% 1%
54 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
55 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
56 QIU Le 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
57 SMITH David C. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
58 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
59 HU William 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
60 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
61 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
62 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
63 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
64 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
65 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
66 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
67 KOKOSINSKI Eryk 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
68 ZHOU Justin 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
69 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
70 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 22%
71 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
72 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
73 RICE Vaughn A. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
74 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1%
75 LIN John A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
76 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
77 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
78 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
79 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
80 DAMMER Mark W. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
81 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
82 RAMAN Easwer 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4% -
83 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
83 YANG Kevin S. 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
85 ZHANG Michael M. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
86 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
86 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 1%
88 CHENIER Marc-Olivier 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
89 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
90 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
91 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
92 MURZYN III CJ 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
93 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
94 KANARY Logan A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
95 SINGER Carson 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
96 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
97 CHAN Daniel 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
98 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
99 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
100 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
101 JULIEN William A 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
102 POPE Nico 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
103 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
103 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
105 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
105 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
107 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
107 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
109 CHO Brandon 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
110 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
111 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
112 LINSKY Matthew 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
113 STEINMETZ John 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
114 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
115 KOVACS Christian 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
115 HAN Nicholas 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
117 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
118 TANG Alex Y. 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2%
119 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
120 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1%
121 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
122 DU Gavin J. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
123 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
124 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
125 YUAN Ronald I. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
126 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
127 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
128 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
129 WUN William 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
130 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
131 GANTA Vijay 100% 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% -
132 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
133 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
134 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
135 NG Jonathan H. 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
136 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
137 YOUNG Nash 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
138 SHIN Richard J.H. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
139 ROBERTS Sam 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
140 KOUNALAKIS Antoneo T. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
141 MENSAH Kennedy C 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
142 PAN Andrew W. 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
143 QUAN Nicholas 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
144 CHU Cameron 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
145 ZHOU Kevin 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
146 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
147 MARSEE James 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 2%
148 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
149 LI Joshua L. 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
150 OWENS William 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
151 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
151 TRINH Trevor Z. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
153 CHU Devin 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
154 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
155 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
156 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
157 NOBLE Daniel 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
157 XU Ryan 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
159 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 97% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
160 RAJA Arnav 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
160 JACOB Bret 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
162 WOODWARD Connor 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
163 GRASS James D. 100% 84% 42% 11% 2% - -
164 NIL Michael Y. 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
165 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
166 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 94% 60% 22% 4% - -
167 LUO ZIRUI 100% 97% 78% 42% 14% 2% -
168 LAHOTSKA Yahor 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
169 LIN William 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
170 BAILEY Asher 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
171 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
172 RICH Jack 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
173 LASORSA Matthew 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
174 TONG ZACHARY 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
175 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
176 BELSER Bryce S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
177 FLORES Peter D. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
178 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
179 DROZ Camden J. 100% 100% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
180 HUDDY Brandon J. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
180 CHAN Matthew 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
180 NGUYEN Andrew 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
183 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
184 TRACY Jahi 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
185 MORREALE John 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
186 HONG Steven 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
187 KENNEDY Liam A. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
188 HARLEY Sage N. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
189 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
190 LIU Jesse Y. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
190 XU Michael 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
192 HURST Alexander 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
192 LAURIN Charles-Antoine 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
194 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
195 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
196 RAI Avin 100% 99% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
197 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
198 MOLINARO Lawrence 100% 35% 5% - - - -
199 SMITLEY Tyler J. 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% -
200 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
201 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
202 MARGIL Matthew 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
202 STONE Christopher A. 100% 55% 13% 2% - - -
204 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
204 JIANG Kevin 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
204 ZHOU Miles 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
207 LEE Jude H. 100% 60% 17% 3% - - -
208 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -
209 FORT David 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
209 YANG Ethan 100% 37% 6% - - - -
209 RENGER Felipe 100% 7% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.