January NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Monday, January 6, 2020 at 10:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AKSAMIT Monica 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
2 SHELTON Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 RUSSO Francesca 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 THOMPSON Kamali A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
5 KONG Vera 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
6 JOHNSON Honor B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
7 WOZNIAK Dagmara I. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
8 PLUNKETT Kerry A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 4%
9 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
10 WOZNIAK Kelli 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
11 WALTER Zsofia R. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% < 1%
12 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
13 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
14 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
15 MERZA Sarah 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
16 YUN Joy 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 41% 8%
17 BURKE Nora S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
18 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
18 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
20 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
21 WHANG Rebecca 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 3%
22 HIRSCH Sydney R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 9%
23 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
24 SHEA Erin 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
25 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
26 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
27 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
28 WITEK Sophie B. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
29 LU Vivian Y. 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
30 PARKER Abigale B. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
31 KOVACS Sophia 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
32 LASOTA Marta 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
33 TAO Hannah J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
34 JOHNSON Edith (Tori) V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
35 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
36 HOFFMAN Ilsa L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
37 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
38 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
39 WEINBERG Alexandra L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
40 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
41 MORALES Jessica Y. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
42 STONE Hava S. 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
43 DOHERTY Maverick L. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
44 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 11%
45 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
46 EDGINGTON Grace 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
47 TONG Kunling 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
48 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
49 HEE Malia K. 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
50 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
51 CHAN Casey 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
51 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
53 BROWN Emma 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
54 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
55 KUDRIAVTSEVA Daria 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
56 MOYA Keona L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
57 PINCUS Emma Y. 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
58 GORMAN Alexandra C. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
59 MARSEE Samantha 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
60 TANG Annie L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
61 LIANG Megan 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
62 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% -
63 MERZA Celina 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
64 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
65 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
66 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
67 TANG Catherine H. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
68 YUN Maya 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
69 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3%
70 HINDS Eva R. 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
70 CHEN Erin Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
72 HARRILL Gillian N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
73 WILSON Sienna 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
73 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
75 LARGAESPADA Fatima 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
76 TURNER Zoe Y. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
77 BUCHMANN Vivien 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
78 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
79 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
80 JULIEN Michelle 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
81 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
82 MANUBAG Amanda R. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
83 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
84 HOOGENDOORN Sterre 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
85 TOMASZEWSKI Alicja C. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
85 KUZNETSOVA Nastassja 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
87 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
88 LI Victoria J. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
89 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
90 KATZ Anat 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
91 HONE Katarina G. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
92 SHEALY Maggie 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
92 THEODORE Maria A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
94 TIMOFEYEV Daniella 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
95 ROH Rachel E. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
96 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
97 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
98 HOOGENDOORN Levi 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
99 REDDY Shreya 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
100 LACSON Sarah 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
101 DANAHY Ellen D. 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
102 SWALLOW Abigail R. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
103 MENKE Kavya I. 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
104 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
105 LIU Rachel 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
105 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
107 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
108 LAMBERT Jasmine M. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
108 KOLMYKOVA Aleksandra 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
110 FLOREZ Melissa 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
111 ZEGERS Anneke E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
112 ZEGERS Gabrielle N. 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
112 KOO Samantha 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
114 DRAGON Rainer 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
115 HANADARI-LEVY Amit 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
116 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
117 VALADEZ Emily T. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
118 PINCUS Lucy Y. 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
119 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
120 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
121 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
122 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
123 WU Erica L. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
124 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% -
124 KIM Catherine 100% 85% 48% 16% 2% -
124 DI PERNA Chiara I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
127 WEBER Juliana I. 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
128 HILADO Sarah 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
129 LAWLOR Gillian M. 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
130 CHEN Crystal 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
130 LIN Audrey J. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
132 HE Charlotte 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
133 BLUM Leah I. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
134 KALRA Himani V. 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
135 VAN ATTA Grace Y. 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
136 BOIS Adele 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
137 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
138 BERMAN Stella 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
139 YURT Leyla 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
140 CHEN Xinyan 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
141 ZHOU Rebecca M. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
142 TURNOF Kayla M. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
143 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
144 BAE EMMELINE 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
145 SHAY-TANNAS Zoe 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
146 NEIBART Fiona 100% 81% 35% 8% 1% - -
147 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
148 DUNLAP Allison N. 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.