2020 Equinox Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 10, 2020 at 10:00 AM

Hillside Elementary - West Des Moines, IA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
2 SVIRINOVSKYI Illia 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
3 PAINE Evan J. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
3 CELECKI Barrett 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
5 CASTLE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
6 KULIKOWSKI Adam J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 4%
7 CELSI Nick L. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
8 NIEMANN Avery 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
9 MARETT Alexander 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
10 MUSEL Daniel 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
11 BOLES Savvianna 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
12 FLANIGAN Kendra 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
13 BUTTZ John-Henry 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
15 SATTERFIELD Donald 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% -
16 KNIGHT Jesse 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
17 STOECKEL Sofia I. 100% 96% 79% 49% 20% 5% -
18 ANDERSON Nora E. 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
19 GUST Jadyn 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
20 CARLSON Ava 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
21 COLEMAN Marcus 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.