2020 Equinox Epee

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 11, 2020 at 10:00 AM

Hillside Elementary - West Des Moines, IA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 KULIKOWSKI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30%
2 PAINE Evan J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
3 MUSEL Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
3 SATTERFIELD Donald 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
5 STOECKEL Sofia I. 100% 100% 97% 85% 60% 28% 8% 1%
7 MARETT Alexander 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
8 KNIGHT Jesse 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2% -
9 BOLES Savvianna 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
10 CELSI Nick L. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
11 WISE Weston 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% - -
12 BOLES Sophia 100% 99% 90% 69% 39% 15% 3% -
13 COLEMAN Marcus 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% - -
14 KRENZEL Robert 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% 1%
15 GUST Jadyn 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
16 DOLAN Rilee 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.