Event Preview
October NACFriday, October 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4266 | 4362 - 4160 |
| 5 - 8 | 4123 | 4260 - 4028 |
| 9 - 16 | 3944 | 4062 - 3823 |
| 17 - 32 | 3700 | 3817 - 3549 |
| 33 - 64 | 3422 | 3938 - 3248 |
| 65 - 128 | 3040 | 3420 - 2777 |
| 129 - 171 | 2607 | 3411 - 2284 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.