Event Preview
October NACFriday, October 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4306 | 4362 - 4206 |
| 5 - 8 | 4123 | 4260 - 4028 |
| 9 - 16 | 3980 | 4104 - 3862 |
| 17 - 32 | 3705 | 3840 - 3563 |
| 33 - 64 | 3420 | 3938 - 3227 |
| 65 - 128 | 3046 | 3420 - 2798 |
| 129 - 171 | 2621 | 3411 - 2284 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.