NKFA's Summer Inferno 2021

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, June 26, 2021 at 12:00 PM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 JONES Elijah 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
3 WINTERSHEIMER Adam 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
3 LI Jesse 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
5 KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 15%
6 GRIMSLEY Devin M. 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 5%
7 KRAJ Pawel 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
8 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
9 NAGANOBORI Hiroki 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
10 BOTNER Olivia 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
11 WESTCOTT Nathaniel M. 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
12 MCNICHOLAS Evan M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
13 WYMAN Jacob 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
14 MACEY Hadley 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -
15 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
16 MANAUGH Guy 100% 97% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
17 SORG Jacqueline C. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
18 PERVEZ Zaynab 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
19 SAVINI Lorenza 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% -
20 SAVINI Patricia 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.