Event Preview
December NACSunday, December 11, 2022 at 12:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3706 | 4077 - 3549 |
| 5 - 8 | 3505 | 3554 - 3471 |
| 9 - 16 | 3373 | 3468 - 3251 |
| 17 - 32 | 3100 | 3241 - 2979 |
| 33 - 64 | 2811 | 2980 - 2594 |
| 65 - 128 | 2271 | 2632 - 1748 |
| 129 - 140 | 1646 | 2500 - 1096 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.