The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Cobra Challenge SYC-RCC

Y-8 Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 28, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHAI Derrick 2% 28% 42% 22% 5% < 1%
2 CARCELLER Bernardita 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% < 1%
3 LUO Alexander 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
3 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 3% 30% 48% 17% 2% < 1%
5 KROPP Wesley 2% 21% 57% 18% 2%
6 MOKRETSOV Leah 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
7 CHEN Daniel 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
8 DANILENKO Daniel 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
9 NOOL Aaron 4% 22% 40% 28% 7% -
10 TAYLOR Reagan 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
11 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1%
12 OLUYOLE Isabella 3% 21% 39% 29% 8% -
13 SHAYAKHMETOV Maxim - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
14 KOTHARI Elina 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
15 MEGGERS Arya 1% 18% 40% 31% 9% 1%
16 SHAO Mason 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
17 MASKIN Mikhail 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
18 AYZENBERG Tucker - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
19 SUREKA Ashay - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
20 YOU Emmanuel - 4% 20% 37% 30% 8%
21 DAVID Alden Jacob 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
22 YOUNG Nicole 10% 36% 38% 14% 2%
23 DONE Kennedy 23% 44% 26% 6% -
24 YOON Jonathan 6% 29% 41% 20% 4% -
25 RENONI Noah - 4% 17% 36% 32% 11%
26 PAI Saira < 1% 7% 27% 38% 23% 4%
27 THOMPSON Rhyleigh 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
27 AITKENS Charlotte 1% 14% 38% 35% 12% 1%
29 BIVIJI Rania 1% 9% 30% 37% 20% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.