New Jersey Division Summer Nationals Qualifier

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, May 23, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Cobra Fencing Club - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
2 WANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
3 DAUM Charlie 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
3 MUSAJI Asgar 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5%
5 REZA Farazi 100% 98% 81% 40% 8% < 1%
6 DREW Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
7 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
8 GARR James D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 12%
9 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
10 POPE Alexander 100% 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1%
11 ELIAS Stephen 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
12 MENG Xiang 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
13 MOREL Stephane 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
14 WEN Ethan 100% 72% 25% 4% - -
15 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 99% 90% 54% 13% 1%
16 CHOI-SLATTERY Kieran M. 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
17 TSAI William 100% 68% 21% 3% - -
18 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 100% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
19 EDELMAN Aaron 100% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.