National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, July 3, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - - 8% 46% 45%
2 LILOV Neil - - - - 7% 35% 58%
3 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
3 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - - 1% 15% 52% 32%
5 LIANG Connor - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
6 MORRILL William - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
7 LINSKY Matthew - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
8 TRAVERS Samir T. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
9 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
10 SIMAK Joseph P. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
11 JEFFORDS Alexander - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
12 JIANG Anthony - - 1% 14% 39% 37% 8%
13 BARBER William S. - - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7%
14 LIU kelly - 1% 7% 20% 33% 29% 10%
15 CHON Taylor A. 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
16 JI Cody Walter - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
17 BERRIO Carter E. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 6%
18 CHAN Matthew - - 4% 20% 44% 33%
19 BERMAN Luca - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 15%
20 KNISPEL-HEYWORTH Rafael 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
21 LAI Adam J. - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
22 SO Hananiah - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
23 TANN Justin - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
24 WANG Eric Y. - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
25 DHINGRA Gian K. - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
26 TONG ZACHARY - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
27 HAMMERSTROM Jared - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
28 ZUBATIY Samuel - - 6% 25% 41% 25% 4%
29 KIM Andrew H. - 1% 8% 29% 41% 21%
30 SAKHAMURI Surya - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
31 GHAYALOD ansh - 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9%
32 GOLDMAN Noah R. 5% 24% 37% 26% 7% 1%
33 JEAN Noe T. - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
34 WILSON Jude - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
35 LE Hayden - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
36 REN Richard - 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
37 YUN Jake - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
38 NOBLE Daniel - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
39 BULL Anderson - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
40 YUN Jaesun - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
41 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
42 HOUTZ Jackson - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
43 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
44 WOODWARD Connor - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
45 HONG Vincent Q. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
46 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. - 1% 7% 28% 41% 21% 2%
47 OH Triton 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
48 JOHNSON Langston C. - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
48 WU Mengke - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
50 CHEONG Heonjae 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
50 EDELMAN Seth A. 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 2% -
52 LI Joshua L. - - 5% 30% 43% 20% 2%
53 DOLAN Charles R. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
54 KAYDALIN Artyom - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
55 JINICH Ilan R. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
56 KIM Alexander M. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
57 DELARUE NELSON Y. 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
58 GOLD Jackson 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
59 SOHN Kevin J. - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
60 ALTIRS Alexander - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 3%
61 ZENG Noah 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
62 DU Gavin J. 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
63 DENG Andrew - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
64 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
65 LEE Aydan J. - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
66 ZHENG Edward L. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
67 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
68 YUAN Kevin 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
69 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
70 MORRILL Justin - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
71 BERGER Oliver - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
72 SHOMAN Zachary - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
73 RODE Leon J. 1% 10% 35% 38% 15% 2%
74 HAN Daniel Y. - 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% -
75 WONG Ryan 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
76 SKINNER Graham B. - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
76 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
78 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
79 HJERPE Wade H. - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
79 NOBLE Colin - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
81 CHENG Kyle - 1% 11% 46% 36% 6% -
82 CADAMBI Roshan - 5% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
83 MAY Griffin M. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
84 GHENEA George Philipe - 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
84 GEORGE Daniel 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
86 YANG Ziyi - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
87 POPE Nico - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
88 PAN Andrew W. - 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
89 KIBBAR Tomer L. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
90 GREENE Alexander J. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
91 REYES Xavier M. - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
92 XU William - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
93 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
94 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
95 COLE Alexander - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
96 AVAKIAN Alec 2% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
97 LICHT Aaron H. - 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
98 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 5% 23% 42% 27% 3%
99 KOTOV Leonid - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
100 HUANG Ethan F. 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
101 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 15% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
102 HOLZ Daniel - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
103 FENG Leo - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
104 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
105 CHEN Evan P. 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
106 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 2% 13% 27% 31% 19% 6% 1%
107 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
107 MCCLUNG Gavin 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
109 BECKER Dylan J. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
109 BAE Jason I. - - 6% 32% 42% 17% 2%
111 HONG Steven - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
112 LIU Christopher X. - 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
113 MICLAUS Justin 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
114 XUE ALEXANDER - 2% 11% 30% 37% 19% 2%
115 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
116 EICHHORN Lukas H. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
117 WU Richard 6% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
118 PIWOWAR Alex 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
119 FLOT Tai A. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
120 VO Minh Q. 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
121 LUTHRA Arjun - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 4%
122 BUCHMANN Finn D. 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
123 CHANG Colin S. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
124 ZHU Charlie 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
125 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
126 WONG James T. 3% 26% 50% 18% 2% - -
127 JAWOROWSKI Matthew - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
128 KIM Shaun M. - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 7%
129 AN Damon 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
130 STONE Esmond A. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
131 YI Carey 2% 22% 38% 27% 10% 2% -
132 SCHERER Max 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
133 PENG Bryan - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
134 ZHOU Kevin - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
135 LIN Daniel - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
136 HUANG Tyler T. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
137 PETRAMALE Samuel J. - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
138 YOU Jaden 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
139 KUMAR Sachit 7% 32% 40% 18% 3% - -
140 VAUGHN Jason 8% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
141 WU Wilmund - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
141 LO Andrew T. 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
141 GUAN Luke 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
144 HOLZ William A. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
145 REN James 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
146 ZHOU Aeres Z. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
147 HO Kaden M. 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
147 PATIL Aaryan A. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
149 YOO Joshua H. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
150 GRAINGER Graeme 16% 47% 32% 5% - - -
151 KIM Matthew 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 12% 2%
152 PAN Alex 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
153 ALTIRS Giorgio 7% 37% 38% 15% 3% - -
154 CHAN Aidan 2% 17% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
155 ASHBY Ethan J. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
156 ZHANG Derek 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 3%
157 RHEE Ethan N. 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
158 LU Caleb Q. 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
159 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
160 KASPER Aaron 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
161 NG Jeremiah 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
162 WANG Nicolas - 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
163 RIGHTLER Samuel 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
164 ZHOU Miles 1% 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
165 MARGULIES William - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
166 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. - 6% 32% 40% 19% 4% -
167 OVERDECK Andrew 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
168 PANDEY Neil - 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
169 CONINE Tanner C. - - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
170 MCCARTHY Gabriel 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
171 BIRKS Evan D. 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% 1% -
172 RAUSCHER Ryan - 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1%
173 FIELDS Matthew S. - 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
173 SHOMAN Noah 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
175 BROU Inkosi 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
175 DEPEW Spencer 3% 31% 40% 20% 5% 1% -
177 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
178 SUN David 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
179 FORT David 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
179 RESHEIDAT Malik 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
181 BREKHMAN Eric - - 6% 35% 46% 12% 1%
182 LOPEZ Lucas M. 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
183 YU Thomas 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
184 SPOSATO Andrew P. 7% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
185 MICHNA Colin P. 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
186 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
187 MOULTON Ian 24% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
188 BODKIN Jake M. 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
189 GOLD Carter 24% 55% 18% 2% - - -
190 ZHANG Ethan W. 22% 46% 25% 6% 1% -
191 HU Andrew 6% 24% 37% 26% 7% 1%
192 SHTEYN Mark 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
193 DUDNICK Christian 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
194 SHEALEY Trey 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
194 RICHER Tyler 62% 32% 6% 1% - -
196 ELIN Adam E. 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1%
197 CHEONG Heonjun 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
198 MORALES Jonathan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
199 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 2% 19% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
200 CHENG Cody 12% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
201 LIU Mingyang Ryan 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
202 QIU Nathan - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
203 TIAGI Daniel 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
204 SANDERS Samuel B. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
205 REED Samuel J. 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
206 MCCONNELL Grady 56% 37% 6% - - - -
207 DA GRACA Aidan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
207 SAVOY Luca 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 5% -
209 LEITH Jack 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
210 ROBERTS Justin C. - 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% -
211 HAN Edward 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
212 RODGERS Jacob 42% 44% 13% 1% - - -
213 LI Nathan 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
214 AKS Ari 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
215 DESAI Dhilan 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
216 SMITH Vaughn 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
216 WILKINSON James 56% 39% 5% - - - -
218 GUALTIERI Evan R. 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
218 JAIN Aniket 11% 40% 41% 8% - - -
220 RAJAN Advait 20% 48% 26% 5% - -
221 FLITSANOV Macabee 17% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
222 HUSTON Theodore 25% 48% 23% 4% - - -
223 LO Andrew 100% - - - - - -
224 SCHIRF Aidan 84% 15% 1% - - - -
225 LO Bradley 58% 33% 7% 1% - - -
226 CHIN Avery 18% 54% 26% 3% - - -
226 CUSUMANO Neal 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
226 HOLLOWAY Adam 12% 47% 31% 8% 1% - -
229 RONSAYRO Saul 79% 19% 2% - - - -
229 ALFARO Lucas 59% 34% 6% 1% - - -
231 LAGASSE Jack T. 89% 10% - - - - -
232 GAO Marcus 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.