National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, July 3, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 45%
2 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
3 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
3 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 32%
5 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
6 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
7 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
8 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
9 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
10 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
11 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
12 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 45% 8%
13 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 7%
14 LIU kelly 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
15 CHON Taylor A. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
16 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
17 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
18 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
19 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
20 KNISPEL-HEYWORTH Rafael 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
21 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
22 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
23 TANN Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
24 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
25 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
26 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
27 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
28 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
29 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
30 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
31 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
32 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
33 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
34 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
35 LE Hayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
36 REN Richard 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
37 YUN Jake 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 26% 4%
38 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
39 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
40 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
41 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
42 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
43 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
44 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
45 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
46 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 2%
47 OH Triton 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
48 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
48 WU Mengke 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
50 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
50 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
52 LI Joshua L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 22% 2%
53 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
54 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
55 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
56 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
57 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
58 GOLD Jackson 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
59 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
60 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
61 ZENG Noah 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
62 DU Gavin J. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
63 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
64 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
65 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
66 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
67 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
68 YUAN Kevin 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
69 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
70 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
71 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
72 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
73 RODE Leon J. 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2%
74 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
75 WONG Ryan 100% 99% 94% 70% 33% 8% -
76 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
76 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
78 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
79 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
79 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
81 CHENG Kyle 100% 100% 99% 88% 42% 6% -
82 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
83 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
84 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
84 GEORGE Daniel 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
86 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
87 POPE Nico 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
88 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
89 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
90 GREENE Alexander J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
91 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
92 XU William 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
93 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
94 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 6%
95 COLE Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
96 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 98% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
97 LICHT Aaron H. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
98 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 3%
99 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
100 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
101 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 85% 49% 17% 4% - -
102 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
103 FENG Leo 100% 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
104 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
105 CHEN Evan P. 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
106 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 7% 1%
107 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
107 MCCLUNG Gavin 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
109 BECKER Dylan J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
109 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 93% 61% 19% 2%
111 HONG Steven 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 2%
112 LIU Christopher X. 100% 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
113 MICLAUS Justin 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
114 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
115 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
116 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
117 WU Richard 100% 94% 60% 22% 4% - -
118 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
119 FLOT Tai A. 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1%
120 VO Minh Q. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
121 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
122 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
123 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
124 ZHU Charlie 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
125 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
126 WONG James T. 100% 97% 71% 21% 3% - -
127 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
128 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
129 AN Damon 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
130 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
131 YI Carey 100% 98% 77% 39% 12% 2% -
132 SCHERER Max 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
133 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
134 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
135 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
136 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
137 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
138 YOU Jaden 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
139 KUMAR Sachit 100% 93% 61% 21% 4% - -
140 VAUGHN Jason 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
141 WU Wilmund 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
141 LO Andrew T. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
141 GUAN Luke 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
144 HOLZ William A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
145 REN James 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
146 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
147 HO Kaden M. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
147 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
149 YOO Joshua H. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
150 GRAINGER Graeme 100% 84% 37% 5% - - -
151 KIM Matthew 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
152 PAN Alex 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
153 ALTIRS Giorgio 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% - -
154 CHAN Aidan 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
155 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
156 ZHANG Derek 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
157 RHEE Ethan N. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
158 LU Caleb Q. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
159 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
160 KASPER Aaron 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2%
161 NG Jeremiah 100% 99% 91% 60% 23% 3%
162 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
163 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 97% 82% 53% 23% 6% 1%
164 ZHOU Miles 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
165 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
166 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 100% 94% 62% 22% 4% -
167 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
168 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
169 CONINE Tanner C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
170 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
171 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 92% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
172 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
173 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
173 SHOMAN Noah 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
175 BROU Inkosi 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
175 DEPEW Spencer 100% 97% 66% 26% 5% 1% -
177 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
178 SUN David 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
179 FORT David 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
179 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
181 BREKHMAN Eric 100% 100% 100% 94% 59% 13% 1%
182 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
183 YU Thomas 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
184 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 93% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
185 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
186 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
187 MOULTON Ian 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
188 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
189 GOLD Carter 100% 76% 21% 2% - - -
190 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 78% 31% 6% 1% -
191 HU Andrew 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
192 SHTEYN Mark 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
193 DUDNICK Christian 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
194 SHEALEY Trey 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
194 RICHER Tyler 100% 38% 7% 1% - -
196 ELIN Adam E. 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1%
197 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
198 MORALES Jonathan 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
199 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
200 CHENG Cody 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
201 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
202 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
203 TIAGI Daniel 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
204 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
205 REED Samuel J. 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
206 MCCONNELL Grady 100% 44% 7% - - - -
207 DA GRACA Aidan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
207 SAVOY Luca 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
209 LEITH Jack 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
210 ROBERTS Justin C. 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
211 HAN Edward 100% 95% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
212 RODGERS Jacob 100% 58% 15% 1% - - -
213 LI Nathan 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
214 AKS Ari 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
215 DESAI Dhilan 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
216 SMITH Vaughn 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
216 WILKINSON James 100% 44% 5% - - - -
218 GUALTIERI Evan R. 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
218 JAIN Aniket 100% 89% 49% 8% - - -
220 RAJAN Advait 100% 80% 32% 6% - -
221 FLITSANOV Macabee 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
222 HUSTON Theodore 100% 75% 27% 4% - - -
223 LO Andrew 100% - - - - - -
224 SCHIRF Aidan 100% 16% 1% - - - -
225 LO Bradley 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
226 CHIN Avery 100% 82% 29% 3% - - -
226 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
226 HOLLOWAY Adam 100% 88% 40% 9% 1% - -
229 RONSAYRO Saul 100% 21% 2% - - - -
229 ALFARO Lucas 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
231 LAGASSE Jack T. 100% 11% - - - - -
232 GAO Marcus 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.