National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Saturday, July 3, 2021 at 1:45 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
2 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
3 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
3 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
5 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
6 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 28% 4%
7 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
8 MINARIK Natalie M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
9 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
10 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 9%
11 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
12 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
13 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
14 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
15 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
16 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
17 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
18 LUNG Katerina 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
19 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
20 HO Brianna W. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
21 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
22 JING Emily 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
23 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
24 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 12%
25 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 9% 1%
26 GONG Christina S. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
27 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 3%
28 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
29 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
30 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
31 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
32 LEE Alina 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
33 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
34 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
35 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
36 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
37 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
38 ZHANG Rachel 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
39 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
40 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
41 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
42 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 7% 1%
43 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
44 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
45 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
46 JANG Kimberley 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
47 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
48 LI Phoebe J. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% -
49 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
50 JO Mia C. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
51 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
52 WANG Karina X. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
53 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
54 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
55 REN Olivia Y. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
56 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
56 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
58 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
59 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
60 PARK Rowan M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 6%
61 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
62 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
63 CHO Cameron S. 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
64 LOCKE Savannah 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
65 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
66 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
67 SHEN Lydia 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
68 KIM Rachael 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
69 LEE Brianna J. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
70 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
71 LI Grace Q. 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
72 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
73 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
74 DING Abigail 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
75 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
76 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 25% 3%
77 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
78 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
79 LI Rachel Y. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
80 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
81 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
82 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
83 YEH Samantha 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
84 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
85 OH Erin H. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
86 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
87 SENIC Adeline 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
88 EYER Hailey M. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
89 KIM Katherine 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
90 KOROL Neta 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
91 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
92 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
93 DUAN Konnie 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
94 YU Lauren C. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
95 CHEN Allison V. 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
96 PERLMAN Talia 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
97 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
98 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
99 XU Christine 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
100 HECKMANN Emma 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 4% -
101 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
102 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
103 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
104 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
104 HALL Velma 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
106 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
107 LEE Paulina 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
108 ADAMS KIM Natalie 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
109 CHO Taylor S. 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
110 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
111 LI Meilin 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
112 SEAL Julie T. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
113 XUE Alanna L. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
114 ATLURI Srija 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
115 KONG Olivia 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
116 CHO Gracie L. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
117 FERNANDES Thea 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
117 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
119 WEINTRAUB Io H. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
119 KOROL Dana 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
121 MCDONALD Alexandra 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
122 KASI Anisha 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.