National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARLEY Colby A. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
2 TE VELDE Noah C. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
3 SMITH Jared C. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
3 LAI Adam J. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
5 FIELDS Malcolm D. - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
6 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
7 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
8 BOOTH Zaheer - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
9 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
10 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - 1% 4% 15% 31% 34% 15%
11 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
12 CHOI HYUNSEOK - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
13 SIERADZKY Dawson - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
14 HUSSAIN Faaris 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
15 LUKASHENKO Darii 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
16 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
17 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
18 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
19 KARAM Tariq A. - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
20 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 8%
20 HARVEY Nicholas J. - 4% 14% 29% 31% 17% 4%
22 PARK Donghwan - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
23 LIANG Connor - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
24 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
25 WALKER Dalton F. - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
26 LILOV Neil 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
27 MEHTA Sachin N. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
28 HONG Marshall Q. - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10%
29 RIVERA Inigo Franco 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
30 TRAVERS Samir T. - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
31 LE Hayden 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 3% -
32 SMITH David C. 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
33 ARMIJO Gabriel K. - - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
34 JOHNSON Andrew J. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
35 KULDELL Spencer D. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
36 BIERNACKI Maciej L. - - 2% 12% 29% 37% 19%
37 YANG Ziyi 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
38 SMITH Mitchell M. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
39 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
40 OSTER Keegan J. 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
41 HU William 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
42 HAMMERSTROM Jared 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
43 WIND Nicky E. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
44 JINICH Ilan R. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
45 LIN John A. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
46 ATTIG Will T. - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
47 DODRILL Grant 1% 9% 31% 37% 18% 3%
48 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
49 KIM Shawn J. - 1% 5% 16% 32% 33% 14%
50 KIM Sean G. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
51 SAKHAMURI Surya - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
52 LO Joshua H. 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
53 JEAN Noe T. - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
54 TANN Justin 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
55 SHI Andrew 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
56 BOLTON Dawson E. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
57 MORREALE John 8% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
58 BARNETT Adam 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
59 SOHN Kevin J. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
60 SHEPANEK Noah M. 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
61 DHINGRA Gian K. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
62 RAI Avin 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
63 QUAN Nicholas 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 2% -
64 JI Cody Walter 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
65 BARBER William S. 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% -
66 ZHOU Matthew R. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
67 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
68 CZAHA Balint 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
69 WILSON Jude 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
70 MAHONEY Colin M. 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
71 ALTIRS Alexander 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
72 MERCHANT Marcel J. - 1% 8% 23% 36% 25% 6%
73 MOON Sean H. - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
74 KAYDALIN Artyom 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
75 WOOD Elden S. - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
75 HAN Daniel Y. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
77 XU William 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
78 DROZ Camden J. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
79 MIKA Casper - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
80 TONG ZACHARY 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
81 YEN Darren - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
81 LIU David J. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
83 JEFFORDS Alexander 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 10% 2%
84 BASALYGA Jeffrey 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
85 KUSHKOV Simon O. - 5% 23% 38% 27% 6%
86 ZU Kevin 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
87 NADILE Henry V. 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
88 SIMAK Joseph P. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
89 BUENAVENTURA Christian 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
90 DANNULL Lukas J. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
91 BOLTON Braydon A. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
92 WOODWARD Connor 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
93 ROBERTS Sam 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
94 LINSKY Matthew - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
94 KIM Andrew H. 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
96 MORRILL Justin 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
97 JIANG Anthony 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
98 SKINNER Graham B. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
99 MORRILL William 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
100 ASHBY Ethan J. 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
101 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
102 BERGER Oliver 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
103 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
104 GREEN IV James (Bud) 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
105 BENAVRAM Lev C. 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
106 TONG Qilin 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
107 GREENBAUM Ian L. 45% 41% 12% 2% - -
108 RIGHTLER Samuel 29% 46% 21% 4% - -
109 LIMB Matthew G. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
110 GEFELL Andrew P. - 2% 10% 27% 34% 22% 5%
111 REESE Aaron S. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
111 LIU kelly 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
113 SO Hananiah 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
114 BARTOLO Domenic V. 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
114 NEUHEARDT Peter 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
116 FENG Leo 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
117 NOBLE Daniel 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
117 BERMAN Luca 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
119 BRAR Sanjeet 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
120 GANTA Vijay 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
121 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
121 POPE Nico 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
123 CHAN Matthew 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
124 PAN Andrew W. 29% 46% 21% 4% - -
125 ZHOU Kevin 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
126 PRIEST Leighton K. 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
127 DU Gavin J. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
128 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
128 HOUTZ Jackson 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.