National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
2 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
3 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
3 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
5 FIELDS Malcolm D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
6 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
7 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
8 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 59% 21%
9 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
10 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 15%
11 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
12 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
13 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
14 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
15 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
16 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
17 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
18 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
19 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
20 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 8%
20 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
22 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
23 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
24 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
25 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
26 LILOV Neil 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 2%
27 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
28 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
29 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
30 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
31 LE Hayden 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
32 SMITH David C. 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
33 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
34 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
35 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 6%
36 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
37 YANG Ziyi 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
38 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
39 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
40 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
41 HU William 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
42 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
43 WIND Nicky E. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
44 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
45 LIN John A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
46 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
47 DODRILL Grant 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
48 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
49 KIM Shawn J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 14%
50 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
51 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
52 LO Joshua H. 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
53 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
54 TANN Justin 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
55 SHI Andrew 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
56 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
57 MORREALE John 100% 92% 67% 34% 10% 2% -
58 BARNETT Adam 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
59 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% -
60 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 98% 88% 64% 31% 9% 1%
61 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
62 RAI Avin 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
63 QUAN Nicholas 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
64 JI Cody Walter 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
65 BARBER William S. 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% -
66 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
67 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 10% 1%
68 CZAHA Balint 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
69 WILSON Jude 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
70 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
71 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
72 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
73 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
74 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
75 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
75 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
77 XU William 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
78 DROZ Camden J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
79 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
80 TONG ZACHARY 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
81 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
81 LIU David J. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
83 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
84 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 96% 74% 39% 11% 1%
85 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
86 ZU Kevin 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
87 NADILE Henry V. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
88 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
89 BUENAVENTURA Christian 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1%
90 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
91 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
92 WOODWARD Connor 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
93 ROBERTS Sam 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
94 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
94 KIM Andrew H. 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
96 MORRILL Justin 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1% -
97 JIANG Anthony 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
98 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
99 MORRILL William 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
100 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
101 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
102 BERGER Oliver 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
103 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 3% -
104 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
105 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
106 TONG Qilin 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
107 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
108 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 71% 26% 5% - -
109 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
110 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
111 REESE Aaron S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
111 LIU kelly 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
113 SO Hananiah 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
114 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
114 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
116 FENG Leo 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
117 NOBLE Daniel 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
117 BERMAN Luca 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
119 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
120 GANTA Vijay 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
121 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
121 POPE Nico 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
123 CHAN Matthew 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
124 PAN Andrew W. 100% 71% 25% 4% - -
125 ZHOU Kevin 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
126 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
127 DU Gavin J. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
128 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
128 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.