National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Monday, July 5, 2021 at 12:45 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 KIM Zoe - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
3 TZOU Alexandra - - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
3 SHOMAN Jenna - - 5% 23% 44% 29%
5 LEE Alexandra B. - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
6 GREENBAUM Ella K. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
7 LU Vivian Y. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
8 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - 1% 6% 28% 47% 19%
9 GOUHIN Chloe - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
9 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
9 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
12 SHEALY Maggie - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
13 TONG Kunling - - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
13 OISHI Megumi - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
15 WIGGERS Susan Q. - 3% 21% 42% 29% 6%
16 CAO Stephanie X. - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
17 YUN Joy - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
18 KOVACS Sophia - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
19 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
20 ANDRES Katherine A. - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
21 HIRSCH Sydney R. - - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
22 KER Grace 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 5%
23 HOOGENDOORN Sterre - - 2% 14% 38% 40% 6%
24 MILLER Sky - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
25 MARSEE Samantha - 2% 10% 24% 33% 24% 7%
26 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
27 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 17%
28 PAK Kaitlyn - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
28 JULIEN Michelle - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
30 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 9%
31 CHIOLDI Mina - - 2% 16% 39% 34% 8%
32 HILD Nisha - 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
33 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
34 LI Amanda C. - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
35 WU Erica L. - 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
36 LACSON Sarah - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
37 TAO Hannah J. - - 2% 11% 34% 40% 13%
38 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - - - 5% 25% 44% 26%
38 CHIN Erika J. - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
40 HARRISON Imogen N. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
40 GUTHIKONDA Nithya - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
42 TIMOFEYEV Nicole - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
43 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. - 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
44 HUNG Anna 2% 23% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
45 JOHNSON Lauren - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
45 CHANG Josephine S. - - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
47 POSSICK Lola P. - - 1% 12% 40% 46%
48 KATZ Anat - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
49 OLSEN Natalie J. - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
50 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn - - 1% 9% 31% 45% 14%
51 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
52 BOIS Adele - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
53 HURST Kennedy - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
54 WITEK Sophie B. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
54 SHOMAN Miriam - 2% 13% 30% 35% 17% 3%
56 TANG Catherine H. - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4%
57 LIU Rachel - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 3%
58 NOVICK Mia J. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
59 MOZHAEVA MARIA - 5% 21% 40% 28% 6%
60 SATHYANATH Kailing - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
61 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2%
62 ANDRES Charmaine G. - 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
63 FANG Victoria W. 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
64 LEVITIS Danielle - 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
65 DEPEW Charlotte R. - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6%
66 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
67 BROWN Emma - - 3% 18% 40% 31% 7%
68 CARVALHO Isabela A. - - 2% 15% 38% 35% 10%
69 FEARNS Zara A. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
70 GORMLEY Arwen E. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
71 LUKASHENKO Angelina - 2% 15% 37% 34% 10% 1%
72 LIN Audrey J. - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
73 GORMAN Victoria M. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
74 YUN Maya - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
75 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. - - 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
76 KALRA Himani V. - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
77 GOMES Diana C. 2% 28% 41% 22% 6% 1% -
78 BENOIT Adelaide L. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
79 MATAIEV Natalie S. - 5% 23% 37% 27% 7% 1%
79 ALCEBAR Kayla - 6% 24% 38% 24% 7% 1%
81 XI Shining - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1%
82 HWANG Gabriela M. 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
83 YANG Ashley M. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13% 2%
84 LIAO Siwen 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
85 SADIK HANA 3% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
86 ANTHONY Alexia B. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
87 YAP Madeline - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
88 DUCKETT Madison - 2% 16% 41% 31% 9% 1%
89 CHANG Emily - 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
90 WHANG Rebecca - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
91 BALAKUMARAN Maya - 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
92 DOHERTY Maverick L. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
93 MADA Skye 1% 13% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
93 TUCKER Iman R. - 1% 6% 21% 38% 28% 6%
93 JUNG Irene 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
96 DHAR Aamina 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
97 BUHAY Rachel T. - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
98 LU Amy - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
99 ENDO Miyuki N. - 6% 25% 40% 23% 5% -
99 GHAYALOD reya - 4% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
101 CODY Alexandra C. - 2% 12% 36% 37% 12% 1%
101 WANG Zidan 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
103 MIKA Veronica - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
104 LIU Sophie 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
105 VALADEZ Emily T. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
106 WEI Vivian W. - 7% 35% 38% 16% 3% -
107 WEINBERG Alexandra L. - - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18%
108 ROGERS Pauline E. 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
109 CHEN Xinyan - 3% 20% 42% 28% 7% 1%
110 HONE Katarina G. - - 4% 22% 40% 27% 6%
111 LEE Hannah 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
112 SINHA Anika - 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
113 STONE Hava S. - 4% 25% 42% 24% 4%
114 NI Sharon 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
115 KRASTEV Minna - 3% 24% 42% 26% 4%
116 BLUM Leah I. - 2% 11% 33% 39% 14%
117 BILILIES Sophia 1% 10% 33% 37% 16% 2%
118 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
119 ADAMS Morrigan B. 20% 55% 21% 3% - -
120 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
121 NEWELL Alexia C. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
122 HOOGENDOORN Levi - 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 2%
123 LIGH Erenei J. 3% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
124 BARTON Mele 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
125 KRYLOVA Valery 4% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
126 YANG Angelina LeLe 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
127 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
128 JEAN Olympe G. 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
129 BROWN Delaney 17% 51% 26% 5% 1% - -
130 PETE Gillian C. 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
131 PARKER Abigale B. - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 14%
132 VADASZ Ibla P. 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
133 SATHE Mehek S. - 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
134 NEIBART Fiona - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8%
135 EVANS Madelynn 9% 42% 35% 12% 2% -
136 SHI Cathleen 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
137 BARNOVITZ Maya 7% 38% 38% 14% 2% - -
138 WU Lanting 8% 33% 40% 16% 3% - -
138 TONG Jessie 6% 60% 28% 5% - - -
140 YUAN Greta 1% 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
141 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 9% 27% 33% 22% 8% 1% -
142 GRAFF Sophie - 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
142 YONG Erika E. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
144 BENTOLILA Thalia 1% 14% 44% 31% 9% 1% -
145 DANK Dina - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
146 SHIN Andrea Y. - 5% 24% 40% 24% 6% 1%
146 BAKER Audrey C. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
148 ZINNI Kaylyn M. 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
149 LUKER Sophia 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
150 FREEDMAN Amelia F. 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
151 PRIEUR Lauren - 3% 15% 34% 33% 12% 2%
152 SHEARER Natalie E. - 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 3%
153 BINSTOCK Mari I. 1% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
154 KIM Sujin 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
155 MORAN Rhea 28% 50% 19% 3% - - -
155 JENKINS Scotland 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
157 TUNG Renee 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
158 WHEELER Kira 8% 47% 36% 8% 1% - -
159 TODD Peregrine 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
160 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
160 PATEL Riya 2% 20% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
162 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
163 CHAN Audrey - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
164 ERIKSON Kira R. - 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
165 JOHNSON Lydia 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
165 COLTER Aurora 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
167 CHIN Elise 6% 46% 36% 10% 1% - -
168 GIRARDI Aemilia 2% 22% 47% 24% 5% - -
169 BOLTON Eleksi M. 26% 45% 24% 5% - - -
169 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika - 5% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1%
169 DAVIS Charlotte 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
172 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 7% 37% 37% 15% 3% - -
173 CHIN Sophia J. 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
174 KITTLE Lauren 21% 47% 26% 6% 1% - -
175 PAUL Lila 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
175 HOLMES Emma 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
177 GAJOWSKYJ Sophie K. 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
177 XIKES Katherine E. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
179 HORAN Alexa 13% 53% 29% 5% - - -
180 OPPY Mia 70% 28% 3% - - - -
181 KANTIPUDI Shrika 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
182 FREY Sarah E. 71% 26% 3% - - - -
182 MCNALLY Teagan 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
184 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
185 YANG Lea 6% 38% 39% 15% 2% - -
186 ELNATAN Mica A. 45% 44% 10% 1% - - -
187 CANDEUB Lucy 83% 16% 1% - - - -
188 NYSTROM Sofia C. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
189 CHAGARES Sarah M. 21% 44% 29% 7% 1% - -
190 FANG sophie 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
191 TODD Phoebe 5% 35% 41% 17% 3% - -
192 MANTOAN Adeline L. 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
192 PI Sophia 59% 36% 5% - - -
194 LARIMER Katherine E. 1% 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
194 GEIGER Abigail 29% 44% 21% 4% - - -
196 GRIFFIN Afwe 66% 29% 5% - - - -
196 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 56% 37% 7% 1% - - -
196 BAKER Amelia M. 5% 52% 34% 7% 1% - -
196 ROBINSON Stella 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
200 TSAI Anna A. 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
200 BLUMSTEIN Alannah 83% 16% 1% - - - -
202 ELDER Rhiannon C. 82% 17% 1% - - - -
202 WU Selina 87% 12% - - - - -
204 MESSICK Maya 68% 28% 4% - - - -
205 LIN Grace 72% 25% 2% - - - -
205 RODGERS Rachel 96% 4% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.