National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Monday, July 5, 2021 at 12:45 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 29%
3 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
5 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
6 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
7 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
8 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 19%
9 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
9 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
9 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
12 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
13 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
13 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
15 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 6%
16 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
17 YUN Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
18 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
19 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
20 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
21 HIRSCH Sydney R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
22 KER Grace 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
23 HOOGENDOORN Sterre 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 6%
24 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
25 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 31% 7%
26 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
27 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
28 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
28 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
30 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9%
31 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 8%
32 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
33 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
34 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
35 WU Erica L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
36 LACSON Sarah 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
37 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
38 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
38 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 30%
40 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
40 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
42 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
43 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% -
44 HUNG Anna 100% 98% 75% 32% 6% 1% -
45 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 5%
45 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
47 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
48 KATZ Anat 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
49 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
50 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 14%
51 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
52 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
53 HURST Kennedy 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
54 WITEK Sophie B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
54 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
56 TANG Catherine H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
57 LIU Rachel 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
58 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
59 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
60 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
61 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
62 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
63 FANG Victoria W. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
64 LEVITIS Danielle 100% 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
65 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
66 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
67 BROWN Emma 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
68 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
69 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
70 GORMLEY Arwen E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7%
71 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
72 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
73 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
74 YUN Maya 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
75 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
76 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
77 GOMES Diana C. 100% 98% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
78 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 6% -
79 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
79 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
81 XI Shining 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
82 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
83 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
84 LIAO Siwen 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5% -
85 SADIK HANA 100% 97% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
86 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
87 YAP Madeline 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
88 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 10% 1%
89 CHANG Emily 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
90 WHANG Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
91 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
92 DOHERTY Maverick L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
93 MADA Skye 100% 99% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
93 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
93 JUNG Irene 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
96 DHAR Aamina 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
97 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
98 LU Amy 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6% -
99 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
99 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
101 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13% 1%
101 WANG Zidan 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
103 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
104 LIU Sophie 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
105 VALADEZ Emily T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
106 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
107 WEINBERG Alexandra L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
108 ROGERS Pauline E. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
109 CHEN Xinyan 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 8% 1%
110 HONE Katarina G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
111 LEE Hannah 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 8% 1%
112 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
113 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 96% 71% 29% 4%
114 NI Sharon 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
115 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 4%
116 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
117 BILILIES Sophia 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
118 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
119 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 80% 25% 3% - -
120 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
121 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
122 HOOGENDOORN Levi 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
123 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
124 BARTON Mele 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
125 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
126 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
127 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 95% 79% 50% 20% 3%
128 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
129 BROWN Delaney 100% 83% 32% 6% 1% - -
130 PETE Gillian C. 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
131 PARKER Abigale B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
132 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
133 SATHE Mehek S. 100% 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
134 NEIBART Fiona 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
135 EVANS Madelynn 100% 91% 48% 13% 2% -
136 SHI Cathleen 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% -
137 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 93% 55% 17% 3% - -
138 WU Lanting 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% - -
138 TONG Jessie 100% 94% 33% 5% - - -
140 YUAN Greta 100% 99% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
141 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 100% 91% 65% 31% 10% 2% -
142 GRAFF Sophie 100% 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
142 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
144 BENTOLILA Thalia 100% 99% 85% 41% 10% 1% -
145 DANK Dina 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
146 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% 1%
146 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
148 ZINNI Kaylyn M. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2% -
149 LUKER Sophia 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
150 FREEDMAN Amelia F. 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
151 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
152 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
153 BINSTOCK Mari I. 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
154 KIM Sujin 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
155 MORAN Rhea 100% 72% 22% 3% - - -
155 JENKINS Scotland 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
157 TUNG Renee 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
158 WHEELER Kira 100% 92% 45% 9% 1% - -
159 TODD Peregrine 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% - -
160 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
160 PATEL Riya 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
162 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
163 CHAN Audrey 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
164 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
165 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
165 COLTER Aurora 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
167 CHIN Elise 100% 94% 47% 11% 1% - -
168 GIRARDI Aemilia 100% 98% 76% 29% 5% - -
169 BOLTON Eleksi M. 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
169 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
169 DAVIS Charlotte 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
172 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% - -
173 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
174 KITTLE Lauren 100% 79% 33% 6% 1% - -
175 PAUL Lila 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
175 HOLMES Emma 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
177 GAJOWSKYJ Sophie K. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
177 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
179 HORAN Alexa 100% 87% 34% 5% - - -
180 OPPY Mia 100% 30% 3% - - - -
181 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
182 FREY Sarah E. 100% 29% 3% - - - -
182 MCNALLY Teagan 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
184 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
185 YANG Lea 100% 94% 56% 17% 2% - -
186 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
187 CANDEUB Lucy 100% 17% 1% - - - -
188 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
189 CHAGARES Sarah M. 100% 79% 36% 7% 1% - -
190 FANG sophie 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
191 TODD Phoebe 100% 95% 61% 20% 3% - -
192 MANTOAN Adeline L. 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
192 PI Sophia 100% 41% 5% - - -
194 LARIMER Katherine E. 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
194 GEIGER Abigail 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
196 GRIFFIN Afwe 100% 34% 5% - - - -
196 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 100% 44% 7% 1% - - -
196 BAKER Amelia M. 100% 95% 43% 8% 1% - -
196 ROBINSON Stella 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
200 TSAI Anna A. 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
200 BLUMSTEIN Alannah 100% 17% 1% - - - -
202 ELDER Rhiannon C. 100% 18% 1% - - - -
202 WU Selina 100% 13% - - - - -
204 MESSICK Maya 100% 32% 4% - - - -
205 LIN Grace 100% 28% 2% - - - -
205 RODGERS Rachel 100% 4% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.