National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Wednesday, July 7, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
2 MORRILL William - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
3 MAKLIN Edward P. - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
3 FENG Leo - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
5 BERRIO Carter E. - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
6 BUCHMANN Finn D. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
7 EICHHORN Lukas H. - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10%
8 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
9 ZUBATIY Samuel - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
10 YUN Jaesun - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
11 SIMAK Joseph P. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
12 JIANG Anthony - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
13 WILSON Jude - - - - 5% 29% 66%
14 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
15 KIM Shaun M. - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
16 QIU Nathan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
17 CHON Taylor A. - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
18 LUTHRA Arjun - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
19 HUANG Ethan F. - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
20 HOLZ Daniel - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
21 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
21 REN James - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
23 WANG Eric Y. - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
24 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 1% 4% 17% 35% 32% 10%
25 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 6% 27% 45% 22%
26 SHOMAN Noah - 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 7%
27 MICLAUS Justin - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
28 KUMAR Sachit 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
29 CHAN Aidan 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
30 WANG Nicolas 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
31 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 2% 15% 40% 33% 8%
32 SMINK Oliver 1% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1%
33 BROU Inkosi - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
34 KIM Alexander M. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
35 PATIL Aaryan A. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
36 YUN Jake - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
37 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
38 MORALES Jonathan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% -
39 STONE Esmond A. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
40 NG Jeremiah - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
41 CHEN Evan P. 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
42 PANDEY Neil - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 2%
43 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
44 PERRON Robert 3% 28% 42% 22% 4% -
45 DENG Andrew - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
46 WOODWARD Connor - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
47 ERMAKOV Lev - - - 3% 20% 44% 32%
48 SU Landon - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
49 LEE Aydan J. - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
50 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
51 AVAKIAN Alec - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
52 KILGALLEN William 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
53 SHOMAN Zachary - - 4% 21% 46% 29%
54 HUANG Alexander C. - 5% 22% 39% 28% 7%
55 HJERPE Wade H. - - 4% 18% 34% 32% 11%
56 LIN Daniel - 4% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3%
57 LIU Christopher X. - 4% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
58 PENG Bryan - 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
59 CHAN Matthew - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
60 KILARI Krish 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
61 ZENG Noah 1% 10% 32% 37% 18% 3%
62 ALTIRS Giorgio 15% 42% 33% 9% 1% -
63 HUROWITZ Max 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
64 BOUKHTIN Maxim 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
65 CHOI Silas - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
66 VAUGHN Jason 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
66 STURN Oliver - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
68 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
69 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
70 HONG Steven - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
71 XU Andrew - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
72 CHTERENTAL Alex 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
73 MAY Griffin M. - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
73 ZHANG Derek - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
75 ZHENG Edward L. - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 12%
75 ZHAO Lucas - 5% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
77 JEFFRY Nicholas B. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
78 KALPATHY Rohit 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
79 GOLD Carter 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
80 OKEEFE Mitchell 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
81 KROON Lucas 3% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1%
82 PAN Alex 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
83 KWALWASSER Eric 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
84 GINSBERG jordan 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
85 OH Triton - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
86 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
87 BONETTI Brayden - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
88 FIELDS Matthew S. - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
89 CHOW William T. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
90 YI Carey 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
91 JOO Jeein 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
92 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3% -
93 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
94 MCCARTHY Gabriel 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
95 GILSON Lucas B. - 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2%
95 YAN William 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
97 COOK Cole - 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
98 TASIKAS Stylianos - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
99 LO Konnor 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
100 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 5% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
101 CHEONG Heonjun - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
102 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
103 FELDMAN Drew 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
104 CRAIG Samuel 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
105 ZHOU Hudson L. 2% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
106 WU Richard 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
107 FREDRICK Jameer 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
108 YANG Dylan 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
109 GONG Jerry 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
110 KUSHKOV Daniel 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
111 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
112 SAVOY Luca 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
113 SUGIURA Samuel 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
114 YU Thomas 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
115 GUO Ethan 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% -
116 JAIN Aniket 71% 26% 3% - - -
116 PRIMUS Nazir 4% 28% 40% 23% 6% 1%
118 HUANG Maxwell H. 2% 19% 41% 30% 8% 1%
119 WEBER Mattias A. 2% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
120 HAN Edward 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
121 GUAN Dennis 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
122 LAU Justin Y. 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
123 BAE Jason I. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
123 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 11% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
125 ZHANG Ethan W. 17% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
125 FLITSANOV Macabee 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
125 LAM Ethan 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
125 LIU Vince 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
129 HU-VAN REETH Alexander 19% 46% 27% 7% 1% - -
130 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
131 NIETO Titus P. 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
131 WANG Oscar 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
133 TSAI Michael T. 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
133 PI Alexander 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
135 MISHRA Aadi 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
136 WILKINSON James 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
137 CHENG Cody 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
137 LO Bradley 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
139 GUFFEY Christopher 13% 42% 34% 10% 1% - -
140 KOGAN Nikita 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
141 RAMANAN Jaisimh 6% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
142 HUNG Samuel 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
143 DUDNICK Christian 9% 35% 38% 15% 3% - -
144 AKS Ari 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
145 RAMANAN Govind 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
146 SHANKWILER Christopher 10% 35% 39% 14% 2% -
147 MUNGOVAN Matthew 69% 27% 4% - - - -
148 DECK Tyson 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
148 TUNG Ryan 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -
150 GAO Marcus 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
150 CHANG Leo 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
150 GERSTMANN Max T. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
150 VENU Ram 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
150 JORGESON Charlie 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
155 GUREVICH Savely 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
156 RODGERS Jacob 72% 25% 3% - - -
157 SAMMI Mukul 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.