National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Wednesday, July 7, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
3 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 30%
5 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
6 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
7 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 10%
8 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
9 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40%
10 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
11 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
12 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
13 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
14 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
15 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
16 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
17 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
18 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
19 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
20 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
21 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
21 REN James 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
23 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
24 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
25 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
26 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
27 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
28 KUMAR Sachit 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
29 CHAN Aidan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
30 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
31 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
32 SMINK Oliver 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
33 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
34 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
35 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
36 YUN Jake 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
37 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
38 MORALES Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 7% -
39 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
40 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
41 CHEN Evan P. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
42 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
43 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 98% 81% 45% 15% 2% -
44 PERRON Robert 100% 97% 69% 27% 4% -
45 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
46 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
47 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
48 SU Landon 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
49 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
50 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
51 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
52 KILGALLEN William 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 2%
53 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
54 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
55 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
56 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
57 LIU Christopher X. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
58 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
59 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
60 KILARI Krish 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
61 ZENG Noah 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
62 ALTIRS Giorgio 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% -
63 HUROWITZ Max 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
64 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
65 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
66 VAUGHN Jason 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
66 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
68 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
69 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
70 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
71 XU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 7%
72 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 99% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
73 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
73 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
75 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
75 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
77 JEFFRY Nicholas B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
78 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
79 GOLD Carter 100% 85% 48% 17% 3% - -
80 OKEEFE Mitchell 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
81 KROON Lucas 100% 97% 75% 34% 8% 1%
82 PAN Alex 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
83 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
84 GINSBERG jordan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
85 OH Triton 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
86 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
87 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
88 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 11% 1%
89 CHOW William T. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
90 YI Carey 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
91 JOO Jeein 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
92 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
93 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
94 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
95 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
95 YAN William 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
97 COOK Cole 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
98 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
99 LO Konnor 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
100 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
101 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
102 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
103 FELDMAN Drew 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
104 CRAIG Samuel 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
105 ZHOU Hudson L. 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
106 WU Richard 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
107 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
108 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
109 GONG Jerry 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
110 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
111 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
112 SAVOY Luca 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
113 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
114 YU Thomas 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
115 GUO Ethan 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% -
116 JAIN Aniket 100% 29% 4% - - -
116 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% 1%
118 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1%
119 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
120 HAN Edward 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
121 GUAN Dennis 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
122 LAU Justin Y. 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
123 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 7%
123 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 89% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
125 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
125 FLITSANOV Macabee 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
125 LAM Ethan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
125 LIU Vince 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
129 HU-VAN REETH Alexander 100% 81% 35% 8% 1% - -
130 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 93% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
131 NIETO Titus P. 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
131 WANG Oscar 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
133 TSAI Michael T. 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% - -
133 PI Alexander 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
135 MISHRA Aadi 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
136 WILKINSON James 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
137 CHENG Cody 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
137 LO Bradley 100% 52% 13% 1% - - -
139 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 87% 45% 12% 1% - -
140 KOGAN Nikita 100% 99% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
141 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
142 HUNG Samuel 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
143 DUDNICK Christian 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% - -
144 AKS Ari 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
145 RAMANAN Govind 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
146 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% -
147 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 31% 4% - - - -
148 DECK Tyson 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
148 TUNG Ryan 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
150 GAO Marcus 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
150 CHANG Leo 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
150 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
150 VENU Ram 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
150 JORGESON Charlie 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
155 GUREVICH Savely 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
156 RODGERS Jacob 100% 28% 3% - - -
157 SAMMI Mukul 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.