National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Vet-60 Men's Épée

Wednesday, July 7, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DRAGONETTI Walter E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
2 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
3 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
3 SCHINDLER Sergey M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
5 RICHARDS Dick 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
6 O'DOWD Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
7 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
8 SEGAL Mark N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
9 TAYLOR Daryl J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
10 WATRALL Rick 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
11 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
12 NIXON Mark 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
13 WHEELER Mark C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17% 2%
14 MARSHALL William L. 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3% -
15 RANES Evan 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
16 DARRICAU Henri J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
17 WALLACE Patric 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 27%
18 HENZLER Thomas A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
19 FANGMAN Daniel L. 100% 96% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
20 LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 15%
21 SETTE Alessandro 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
22 SIMMONS Matthew C. 100% 100% 93% 68% 27% 5% -
23 SCHWARTZ Elliott 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
24 KAROLAK Dale W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
25 ALEXANDER Chuck 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
26 BAXTER Daniel J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
27 HANAHAN Thomas M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
28 MANOUKIAN David 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
29 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
30 EVANS Allen L. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
31 MCDARBY Michael B. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
32 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
33 NEWSOME James L. 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
34 ROLANDO Doc 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
35 DOWNEY Gerard C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
36 MELCHER Charles 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
37 WAGMAN Robert S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
38 SKOPIK Jr August 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
39 SZOKOLAY Robert E. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
40 SNYDER John W. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
41 CHELNITSKY Yuriy 100% 89% 49% 12% 1% -
42 SMITH Herman E. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
43 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
44 DAMIANI Paolo 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
45 TKACH Robert W. 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% - -
46 TIERNEY Luke 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
47 PATTERSON Malcolm (Werewolf) D. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
48 LOGAN Mark P. 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% - -
49 BRUCE II Ommer E. 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
50 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% - -
51 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 93% 61% 19% 3% -
52 KLEIN Johannes 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
53 ROSENTHAL Paul E. 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
54 PLOY Jr Edward T. 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
55 MITCHELL Matthew D. 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
56 ENGLISH William 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
57 MYERS Brent M. 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
58 SARON michael 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
59 KRICK Jon 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
60 REDICK Samuel F. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
61 RUSEN Gary V. 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.