National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
2 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
3 KONG Olivia 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
3 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
5 CHO Gracie L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
6 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
7 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
8 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
9 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
10 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
11 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8%
12 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
13 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
14 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4%
15 CHO Taylor S. 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
16 ATLURI Srija 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 6% 1%
17 LI Rachel Y. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8%
18 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
19 EYER Hailey M. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
20 LEE Paulina 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
21 KOROL Neta 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
22 WU Julianna Y. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
23 GU EMILY 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
24 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
25 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
26 SUN Ruoxi 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 12% 2%
27 YU Lauren C. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
28 WU Kyra 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
29 WONG Sophia M. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
30 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
31 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
32 RENTON Samantha 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
33 REN Olivia Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
34 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
35 HALL Velma 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
36 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
37 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
38 DU Hannah 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
39 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
40 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
41 LI Meilin 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
42 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3%
43 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
44 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
45 BATRA Chaahat 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
46 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
47 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
48 BOLES Sophia 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
49 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
50 PRIETO Sofia M. 100% 96% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
51 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
52 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
53 HUANG NATALIE 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
54 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
55 XUE Alanna L. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
56 TOLBERT Zoe 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
57 SHIH Diane 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
58 LIU Siyuan 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% -
59 SEAL Julie T. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
60 DUAN Konnie 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
61 PERLMAN Talia 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
62 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
63 LEE Ariana 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
64 VOHRA Anusha 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
65 KOROL Dana 100% 99% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
66 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
67 YE Eileen 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
68 YEH Marissa E. 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
69 TONG Ophelia 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
70 CHON Sydney 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
71 YIN Helen 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
72 HWANG Alison 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
73 WU Irene M. 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
74 DING Abigail 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
75 COKER Bettina M. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
76 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
77 MAO Rebecca J. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
78 HIRSCH Sophie A. 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
79 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 11% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.