National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
2 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
3 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
5 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
6 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
7 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
8 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
9 GULCHIN Mark 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
10 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
11 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
12 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
13 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
14 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
15 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 97% 80% 48% 16% 2%
16 LIU ERIC 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
17 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 20%
18 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
19 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
20 TANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
21 HONG Logan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
22 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
23 CHANG Jeremy 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% 1%
24 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 11%
25 RUSSELL Paul 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
26 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
27 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
28 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
29 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
30 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
31 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
32 WEI JR Shan 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
33 MANDZY Theodor 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
34 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
35 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
36 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 26%
37 YUE Jackson 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
38 KAWADA Sebastien 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
39 JIN Andy 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 6% -
40 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
41 HE Ian 100% 65% 19% 2% - -
42 YANG Charles 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
43 O'LEARY Colin 100% 97% 61% 17% 2% -
44 QIAN Zekai 100% 44% 6% < 1% - -
45 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
46 CHENG Logan 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
47 MO Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
48 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
49 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8% 1%
50 PARRISH Evan 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
51 ZHAO Ryan 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
52 ZHOU Ryan 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
53 CHEN Andrew 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
54 PAULUS Gregory 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
55 DHOKTE Neev 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21%
56 TAN Pyron 100% 99% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1%
57 SHAW Spencer 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
57 NOVELL Giancarlo 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
59 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
60 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
61 XIE Jayden 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
62 PARK Maxwell 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
63 XU Nathan 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
64 CHUANG Oscar 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
65 HUANG Jinyao 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
66 WANDJI NANA Noah 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
67 TANG Royce 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
68 BLACK Henry 100% 98% 81% 37% 9% 1% -
69 LU Hansen 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
70 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
71 ZHAO Adam 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
72 CHINTE Oliver 100% 100% 94% 65% 20% 2%
73 FINNEY Miles 100% 93% 63% 25% 4% -
74 SUAREZ David 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
75 YU William 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
76 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
77 MA Lucas 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% -
78 HICKEY Connor 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
78 DESERANNO Leander 100% 79% 34% 6% - -
80 POPOKH Luca 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
81 MARTIRE Luca 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
82 LIU Robert 100% 99% 81% 45% 15% 3% -
83 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
84 YAN Rian 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
85 DEPP Edward 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
86 PARK Roy 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
87 WOODTHORPE Chris 100% 58% 14% 1% - - -
88 ALKADI Zain 100% 100% 99% 88% 47% 9%
89 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 24% 3% - - - -
90 KOE Declan 100% 95% 65% 20% 2% -
91 TOOMRE Kai 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
92 SIU Max 100% 86% 47% 11% 1% -
93 REN Ryan 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
94 HALL Fletcher 100% 98% 84% 51% 20% 4% -
95 SEVOSTYANOV Timofey 100% 41% 7% - - -
96 VIDAL Mateo 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
97 QIAN Henry 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
98 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
98 LIU Gene 100% 75% 22% 3% - - -
100 GOGOI Kavi 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.