National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div II Women's Saber

Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MENKE Kavya I. - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
2 SINHA Anika - - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
3 HILD Nisha - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
3 SADIK HANA - 3% 17% 38% 32% 8%
5 GRAFF Sophie - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
6 DEPEW Charlotte R. - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
7 LEVITIS Danielle - - 1% 5% 24% 44% 26%
8 TIBURCIO Diana - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
9 ROGERS Pauline E. - - 2% 12% 35% 37% 13%
10 NGUYEN Ella 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
11 XIKES Katherine E. 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
12 TURNOF Kayla M. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
13 YUAN Greta - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
14 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
15 YANG Angelina LeLe - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
16 ENDO Miyuki N. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
17 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
18 DANK Dina - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
19 MADA Skye - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
20 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
21 CHANG Audrey - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
22 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
23 HUNG Anna - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6%
24 CHANG Emily - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
25 COLTER Aurora 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
26 ARNIPALLI Hamsika - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
27 JUNG Irene - - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
28 NOBREGA Carolina S. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
29 LIU Sophie - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
30 BINSTOCK Mari I. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 2%
31 ADAMS Morrigan B. 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
32 HAMMARBERG Shaine Trea - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
33 KRYLOVA Valery - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
34 WEI Vivian W. - - 3% 16% 39% 34% 8%
35 YANG Ashley M. - - - 4% 17% 41% 37%
36 ERIKSON Kira R. - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
37 JEAN Olympe G. - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
38 LIGH Erenei J. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
39 LARIMER Katherine E. - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
40 SATHE Mehek S. - 1% 6% 19% 35% 30% 9%
41 ARNECKE Lauren A. - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
42 GAJOWSKYJ Sophie K. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
43 MEYTIN Sophia E. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
44 ZINNI Kaylyn M. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
45 JAVERI Amaya 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
46 SHIH Christina 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
47 SUN Alyssa 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
48 DHAR Aamina 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
49 PETE Gillian C. 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
50 FEARNS Zara A. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
51 GIRARDI Aemilia - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
52 PI Sophia 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
53 LEE Hannah - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
54 FANG sophie 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
55 STOODLEY Theresa R. 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
56 HE Cassandra 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 6%
57 TUNG Renee 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
58 KITTLE Lauren 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
59 OBRADOVIC Ana - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
60 DONADO Caroline A. - 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 3%
61 TODD Peregrine 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
62 WHEELER Kira 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% -
63 HORAN Alexa 9% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
64 BROWN Delaney 10% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
65 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
66 BAKER Audrey C. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
67 SULLIVAN Kate 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
68 NGUYEN Siena 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
69 SCHIKORE Anna M. 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% -
70 YANG Lea 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
71 ROBINSON Stella 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
72 JENKINS Scotland 8% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
73 SPRINGER Ella 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 10% 2%
74 LIN Sarah 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
75 TSOI Julie 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
76 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. - 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
77 GIBEK Victoria 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
78 MCNALLY Teagan 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
79 HUANG MADELINE 1% 13% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
80 FAN Grace - 4% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1%
81 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
82 CLIFTON Nicole R. 2% 17% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
83 SANDERS Brittany 26% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
84 TSAI Anna A. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
85 NG Sarah W. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
86 LU Annamaria 6% 30% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
87 BAROUCH Susanna 1% 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
88 MU Vicki Y. 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
89 TONG Jessie 1% 13% 36% 36% 12% 2% -
90 CHIANG Emily 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
91 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 29% 43% 23% 5% - -
92 LIGH Karis 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
93 DAVIS Charlotte 5% 30% 40% 20% 5% - -
94 CHIN Elise 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
95 JOHNSTON Lily 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
96 YERRAMILLI Kavya 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
97 SIERRA Kate - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
97 WILLEMSE Jamie 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2% -
99 HORMEL Molly 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
100 MORAN Rhea 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
101 NOVICK Mia J. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
102 REN Xinling 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
103 EVANS Madelynn 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
103 BAKER Amelia M. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
105 WEINSTEIN Hannah 74% 24% 2% - - - -
106 KANTIPUDI Shrika 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
107 GEIGER Abigail 23% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
108 STRAYER Sofia I. 6% 43% 38% 11% 1% - -
109 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
110 UYANIK Nerine 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
111 SCHICK Veronica 4% 18% 33% 29% 14% 3% -
112 RODGERS Rachel 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
112 CANDEUB Lucy 64% 31% 5% - - - -
114 CHEN Athena 73% 23% 3% - - - -
114 POLEN Layne 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.