National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div II Women's Saber

Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MENKE Kavya I. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
2 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
3 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 SADIK HANA 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
5 GRAFF Sophie 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
6 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
7 LEVITIS Danielle 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
8 TIBURCIO Diana 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
9 ROGERS Pauline E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
10 NGUYEN Ella 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
11 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
12 TURNOF Kayla M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 6%
13 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
14 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
15 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
16 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 18%
17 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
18 DANK Dina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
19 MADA Skye 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 7%
20 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 15%
21 CHANG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
22 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
23 HUNG Anna 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
24 CHANG Emily 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
25 COLTER Aurora 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
26 ARNIPALLI Hamsika 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
27 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
28 NOBREGA Carolina S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
29 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
30 BINSTOCK Mari I. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
31 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
32 HAMMARBERG Shaine Trea 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
33 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
34 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
35 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
36 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
37 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
38 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
39 LARIMER Katherine E. 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
40 SATHE Mehek S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 9%
41 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
42 GAJOWSKYJ Sophie K. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
43 MEYTIN Sophia E. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
44 ZINNI Kaylyn M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
45 JAVERI Amaya 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
46 SHIH Christina 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 10% 1%
47 SUN Alyssa 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
48 DHAR Aamina 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
49 PETE Gillian C. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
50 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
51 GIRARDI Aemilia 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
52 PI Sophia 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
53 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
54 FANG sophie 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
55 STOODLEY Theresa R. 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
56 HE Cassandra 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
57 TUNG Renee 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
58 KITTLE Lauren 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
59 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
60 DONADO Caroline A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
61 TODD Peregrine 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
62 WHEELER Kira 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
63 HORAN Alexa 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
64 BROWN Delaney 100% 90% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
65 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
66 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
67 SULLIVAN Kate 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
68 NGUYEN Siena 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
69 SCHIKORE Anna M. 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
70 YANG Lea 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
71 ROBINSON Stella 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
72 JENKINS Scotland 100% 92% 67% 34% 11% 2% -
73 SPRINGER Ella 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
74 LIN Sarah 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
75 TSOI Julie 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
76 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. 100% 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2%
77 GIBEK Victoria 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
78 MCNALLY Teagan 100% 96% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
79 HUANG MADELINE 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 5% -
80 FAN Grace 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 7% 1%
81 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1%
82 CLIFTON Nicole R. 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
83 SANDERS Brittany 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
84 TSAI Anna A. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
85 NG Sarah W. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
86 LU Annamaria 100% 94% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
87 BAROUCH Susanna 100% 99% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
88 MU Vicki Y. 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
89 TONG Jessie 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
90 CHIANG Emily 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
91 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
92 LIGH Karis 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
93 DAVIS Charlotte 100% 95% 66% 25% 5% - -
94 CHIN Elise 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
95 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
96 YERRAMILLI Kavya 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
97 SIERRA Kate 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
97 WILLEMSE Jamie 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
99 HORMEL Molly 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
100 MORAN Rhea 100% 84% 45% 14% 3% - -
101 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
102 REN Xinling 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% -
103 EVANS Madelynn 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
103 BAKER Amelia M. 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
105 WEINSTEIN Hannah 100% 26% 3% - - - -
106 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
107 GEIGER Abigail 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
108 STRAYER Sofia I. 100% 94% 51% 13% 1% - -
109 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
110 UYANIK Nerine 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
111 SCHICK Veronica 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
112 RODGERS Rachel 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
112 CANDEUB Lucy 100% 36% 5% - - - -
114 CHEN Athena 100% 27% 3% - - - -
114 POLEN Layne 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.