National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ESCUETA Tony V. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
2 YEN Preston - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
3 LO Joshua H. - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
3 YUN Jaesun - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
5 BERRIO Carter E. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
6 KOTOV Leonid - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
7 CHEONG Heonjae - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
8 CZAHA Balint - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
9 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19%
10 DENG Andrew - 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9%
11 LI Joshua L. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
12 WU Mengke - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
13 WANG Eric Y. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
14 WONG Ryan - 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
15 REYES Xavier M. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
16 CHANG Colin S. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
17 MAGUIRE Matthew V. - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
18 YUN Jake - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 21%
19 SIMAK Joseph P. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
20 HONG Vincent Q. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
21 XUE ALEXANDER 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
22 GREENE Cameron J. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
23 ALTIRS Alexander - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
24 REN James 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
25 ZHOU Miles 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
26 YUAN Kevin - 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
27 LO Alexander 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
28 VO Minh Q. 2% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
29 NEUHEARDT Peter - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
30 SWORDS Evan F. 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
31 NG Jeremiah - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
32 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
33 XU William - 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
34 GHENEA George Philipe - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
35 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
36 ZHOU Brian 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
36 SCHARDINE James 7% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
38 BARTOLO Domenic V. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
39 HOLZ William A. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
40 NOBLE Colin - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
41 AN Damon - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
42 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
43 HO Kaden M. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
44 HUANG Ethan F. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
45 BULL Anderson - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
46 COLE Alexander - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
47 HARRIS Alex K. - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
48 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
49 KUMAR Sachit 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
50 HAN Daniel Y. 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
51 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
52 BRISTOL Brijen 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
53 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
54 HU Andrew 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
55 BUKOWSKI Bronson - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
56 GOLDMAN Noah R. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
57 CHEN Evan P. 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
58 LIN Daniel 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
59 ZHENG Edward L. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
60 KOKKIN Jack S. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
61 ZENG Noah - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
62 RESHEIDAT Malik - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
63 COVINGTON Max G. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
64 PANDEY Neil 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
65 CHEONG Heonjun 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
66 LIU Mingyang Ryan 1% 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
67 SHASHA zane - 3% 12% 26% 33% 21% 5%
67 ZHU Charlie 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
69 TSODIKOV Matthew G. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
70 WEHLE Paul 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
71 RICH Jack - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
72 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
73 MURZYN III CJ - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 5%
73 HUANG Alexander C. 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
73 WANG Nicolas 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
76 GEORGE Daniel 5% 29% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
77 KNISPEL-HEYWORTH Rafael 1% 5% 18% 31% 28% 13% 2%
78 ATEFI Daniel - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
79 DELARUE NELSON Y. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
80 ELIN Adam E. 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
81 LEITH Jack 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
82 SANDERS Samuel B. 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% -
83 CORTEZ Christopher 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
84 CHOI Silas - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
85 WU Wilmund 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
85 OVERDECK Andrew - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
87 SATHE Tej R. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
88 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
89 LUTHRA Arjun - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
90 LUEBBE Macklan C - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
91 BAUER Hank E. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
92 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
93 SILVA Daniel - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
94 PIWOWAR Alex 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
95 KIM Matthew 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
96 REYES Kyle 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
97 JAWOROWSKI Matthew - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
98 SCHARDINE Ryan - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
99 SCHERER Max 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
100 MCCARTHY Gabriel 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
101 DOLAN Charles R. - 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
102 ZHOU Aeres Z. 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
103 MICHNA Colin P. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
104 ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
104 STONE Esmond A. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
106 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
107 HONG Steven - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 3%
108 LU Caleb Q. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
109 CHENG Kyle 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
110 HUANG Tyler T. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
111 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
112 KORINTH Alexander J. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
113 GOLD Jackson 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
114 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
115 PARKHURST Jr Michael - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
116 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
117 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 4% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
117 BAILEY Nate 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
117 CHEN Andrew 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
120 CHENG Albert 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
121 EDELMAN Seth A. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
122 LOPEZ Lucas M. 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
123 MCCONNELL Grady 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
124 MARGULIES William 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
125 REN Richard 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2%
126 XU Andrew 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
127 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
128 SAVOY Luca 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
129 ZHOU Hudson L. 5% 32% 40% 19% 4% - -
130 YOU Jaden 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
130 JANG Junhyuk 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
132 FERBER Oliver E. 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
133 MORALES Jonathan 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
134 SMITH Taggert 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
135 TASIKAS Stylianos - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
136 BESTMAN Willie D. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
136 YU Thomas 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
138 LAGASSE Jack T. 82% 17% 1% - - - -
139 TAN Darren 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
140 KILARI Krish 26% 40% 24% 8% 1% - -
141 LIGUORI Michael 18% 42% 31% 8% 1% - -
142 BIRKS Evan D. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
142 CHENG Cody 21% 37% 28% 11% 2% - -
144 TRUONG Oliver 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
145 SPOSATO Andrew P. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
145 FREDRICK Jameer 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
147 LEDERER Justin W. 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
148 WEBER Mattias A. 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
149 BONTS Nathaniel 65% 30% 5% - - - -
150 RICKERT Michael A. 3% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
150 VELTZ Tyler J. 60% 32% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.