National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div III Women's Saber

Monday, July 12, 2021 at 12:30 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ERIKSON Kira R. - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
2 SHIH Christina - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
3 ARNECKE Lauren A. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 18% 4%
3 YANG Angelina LeLe - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
5 YUAN Greta - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
6 ROGERS Pauline E. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
7 CHIANG Emily - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
8 JEAN Olympe G. - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
9 GIRARDI Aemilia - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
10 TONG Jessie 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
11 BINSTOCK Mari I. - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
12 NGUYEN Ella - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
13 ZHANG Sophie - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 2%
14 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
15 DAVIS Charlotte 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1%
16 EVANS Madelynn 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
17 ADAMS Morrigan B. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
18 NOVICK Mia J. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
19 PETE Gillian C. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
20 SUN Alyssa - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
21 KITTLE Lauren - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
22 CHIN Elise 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
23 SINHA Anika - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
24 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
25 GIBEK Victoria 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
26 JOHNSTON Lily - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
27 CHU Catherine G. - 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
28 NG Sarah W. - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
29 DRAEKER Margaret 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
30 SPRINGER Ella - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
31 GAJOWSKYJ Sophie K. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
32 NGUYEN Siena - 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
33 WEI Vivian W. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
34 YANG Lea 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
35 PI Sophia 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
36 COLTER Aurora - 4% 19% 40% 31% 7%
36 LIN Sarah 4% 24% 42% 24% 5% -
38 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
39 CHANG Audrey - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
40 ARNIPALLI Hamsika - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
41 TSOI Julie - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
42 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
43 CHEN Athena 19% 48% 26% 6% 1% - -
44 SCHIKORE Anna M. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
45 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
46 TUNG Renee - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
47 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
48 SCHOEW Margot 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1%
49 BAKER Amelia M. 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
50 YERRAMILLI Kavya - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
50 HUANG MADELINE 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
52 HORAN Alexa 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
53 JENKINS Scotland - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
54 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
54 MCNALLY Teagan 4% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
56 NOBREGA Carolina S. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
56 ROBINSON Stella 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
58 REN Xinling - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
59 SULLIVAN Kate 1% 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
60 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
61 HE Cassandra 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
62 HAMMARBERG Shaine Trea 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
63 FAN Grace 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
64 MORAN Rhea - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
65 LIGH Karis 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
66 FANG sophie - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
67 DREYER Nadia S. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
68 TSAI Anna A. 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
69 MANSPERGER Leena - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
69 WHEELER Kira - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
71 FREEDMAN Amelia F. 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
72 YANG Jenny J. - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
73 WILLEMSE Jamie 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
74 DONADO Caroline A. - 2% 11% 25% 33% 22% 6%
75 SCHICK Veronica - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
76 MU Vicki Y. - 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
77 HAMILTON Ciera 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
78 BROWN Delaney - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
79 WEINSTEIN Hannah 24% 45% 24% 6% 1% - -
80 YU Melinda - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10%
81 CANDEUB Lucy 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
82 STOODLEY Theresa R. 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
83 STRAYER Sofia I. 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% -
84 UYANIK Nerine 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
85 SANDERS Brittany 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
86 OPPY Mia 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
87 GEIGER Abigail 18% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
88 MESSICK Maya 8% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
89 GRIFFIN Afwe 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
89 ZUIEV Xenia 15% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
91 ELDER Rhiannon C. 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
92 BOFFOLI Sarah 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
93 HORMEL Molly 49% 38% 11% 2% - -
94 GOLOVITSER Maya 32% 45% 19% 4% - - -
95 BAROUCH Susanna 8% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
95 MARSH Lisa 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
95 RODGERS Rachel 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
98 LU Annamaria 8% 36% 38% 15% 3% -
99 DUBE Naomi 36% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
99 CHO Michelle 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
101 KOKAL Genevieve 44% 42% 13% 2% - - -
102 OPPY Eve 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.