National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div III Women's Saber

Monday, July 12, 2021 at 12:30 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
2 SHIH Christina 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
3 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
3 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
5 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
6 ROGERS Pauline E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
7 CHIANG Emily 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
8 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
9 GIRARDI Aemilia 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
10 TONG Jessie 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
11 BINSTOCK Mari I. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
12 NGUYEN Ella 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
13 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
14 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
15 DAVIS Charlotte 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1%
16 EVANS Madelynn 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
17 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
18 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
19 PETE Gillian C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
20 SUN Alyssa 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
21 KITTLE Lauren 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
22 CHIN Elise 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3%
23 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
24 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
25 GIBEK Victoria 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
26 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
27 CHU Catherine G. 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 6%
28 NG Sarah W. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
29 DRAEKER Margaret 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
30 SPRINGER Ella 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
31 GAJOWSKYJ Sophie K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
32 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
33 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
34 YANG Lea 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
35 PI Sophia 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
36 COLTER Aurora 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
36 LIN Sarah 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% -
38 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
39 CHANG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
40 ARNIPALLI Hamsika 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
41 TSOI Julie 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 15% 2%
42 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
43 CHEN Athena 100% 81% 32% 7% 1% - -
44 SCHIKORE Anna M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
45 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
46 TUNG Renee 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
47 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
48 SCHOEW Margot 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1%
49 BAKER Amelia M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
50 YERRAMILLI Kavya 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 4%
50 HUANG MADELINE 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
52 HORAN Alexa 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
53 JENKINS Scotland 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
54 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 4% -
54 MCNALLY Teagan 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
56 NOBREGA Carolina S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
56 ROBINSON Stella 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
58 REN Xinling 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
59 SULLIVAN Kate 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
60 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
61 HE Cassandra 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
62 HAMMARBERG Shaine Trea 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
63 FAN Grace 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
64 MORAN Rhea 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
65 LIGH Karis 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
66 FANG sophie 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
67 DREYER Nadia S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
68 TSAI Anna A. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
69 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
69 WHEELER Kira 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
71 FREEDMAN Amelia F. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
72 YANG Jenny J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
73 WILLEMSE Jamie 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
74 DONADO Caroline A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
75 SCHICK Veronica 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
76 MU Vicki Y. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
77 HAMILTON Ciera 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
78 BROWN Delaney 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
79 WEINSTEIN Hannah 100% 76% 31% 7% 1% - -
80 YU Melinda 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
81 CANDEUB Lucy 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
82 STOODLEY Theresa R. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
83 STRAYER Sofia I. 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
84 UYANIK Nerine 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
85 SANDERS Brittany 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
86 OPPY Mia 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
87 GEIGER Abigail 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
88 MESSICK Maya 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
89 GRIFFIN Afwe 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
89 ZUIEV Xenia 100% 85% 40% 10% 1% - -
91 ELDER Rhiannon C. 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
92 BOFFOLI Sarah 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
93 HORMEL Molly 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
94 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
95 BAROUCH Susanna 100% 92% 67% 34% 10% 2% -
95 MARSH Lisa 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
95 RODGERS Rachel 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
98 LU Annamaria 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% -
99 DUBE Naomi 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
99 CHO Michelle 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
101 KOKAL Genevieve 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
102 OPPY Eve 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.