The Don't Succulent Women's & Div 3

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 17, 2021 at 11:00 AM

Red Door Fencing - Des Moines, IA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAKATA Ben 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
2 JOHNSTONE Mathew 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
3 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 95% 70% 31% 6%
3 RHEA Eric L. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
5 COLEMAN Ian 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 4%
6 MUSEL Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
7 CELSI Nick L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
8 TENHUNDFELD Jack 100% 96% 70% 27% 4%
9 CURTSINGER Charlie 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
10 JOHNSTONE Natasha 100% 99% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
11 RHEA Heather 100% 90% 55% 16% 2%
12 FITZGERALD Thomas R. 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% -
13 COLEMAN Marcus 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
14 SHOEMAKER Oliver 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
15 KASENO Sophia 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
16 PETERSON Clio 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
17 O'HAGAN Benedict 100% 57% 13% 1% - -
19 BENDA Campbell 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.