Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Richard - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
2 VAUGHN Jason - 1% 7% 29% 44% 19%
3 GUAN Dennis - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
3 ZHANG Derek - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
5 ZHANG Ethan W. 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
6 GAUVEY Kieran - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
7 SHANKWILER Christopher 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
8 WANG Justin - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
9 SU Landon - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
10 VAID Luke - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
11 KURILO Michael - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
12 WANG Max 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
13 HILL Spencer - 3% 16% 39% 34% 8%
14 HOTHA Nikhil 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% -
15 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
16 GUREVICH Savely 4% 22% 41% 26% 6% -
17 NORTON Benjamin - 5% 22% 40% 27% 5%
18 BREUER Daniel 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
19 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
20 DESAI Dhilan - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
21 GUREVICH Benjamin - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
22 VEDRE Neil 31% 46% 19% 3% - - -
23 PATEL Rayn 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
24 MILLER Felix 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
25 LEVY Jacob - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
26 FANG Eason 1% 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
27 GONG Gavin 7% 25% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
28 KIM Samuel - 2% 17% 38% 31% 11% 1%
29 ZHAO David 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
30 LIN Felix 33% 42% 20% 5% - -
31 SCHAUB Andrew 4% 25% 42% 24% 5% -
32 LEE Thomas 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
33 LEE Gordon 33% 48% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.