Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Richard 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
2 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
3 GUAN Dennis 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
3 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
5 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
6 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
7 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
8 WANG Justin 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 2%
9 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
10 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
11 KURILO Michael 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
12 WANG Max 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
13 HILL Spencer 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
14 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
15 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
16 GUREVICH Savely 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% -
17 NORTON Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 5%
18 BREUER Daniel 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
19 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
20 DESAI Dhilan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
21 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
22 VEDRE Neil 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -
23 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
24 MILLER Felix 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
25 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
26 FANG Eason 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
27 GONG Gavin 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
28 KIM Samuel 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
29 ZHAO David 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
30 LIN Felix 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
31 SCHAUB Andrew 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -
32 LEE Thomas 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
33 LEE Gordon 100% 67% 19% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.