Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HSU leah 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
2 HAMMERSTROM Aria 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
3 WEI JoyAnn - 1% 9% 39% 51%
3 FERNANDEZ Martina 1% 8% 32% 45% 14%
5 LEE Alyson 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
6 FAVO Isabella 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
7 BERNARD Kathryn 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
8 FAN Alexandria 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
9 MCAFEE Jada - 1% 7% 29% 45% 18%
10 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - 1% 10% 30% 40% 20%
11 LEE Tammy 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
12 TA-ZHOU Emma 5% 27% 44% 22% 3%
13 DHAR Layla - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
14 MARAGH Farrah E. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
15 CHANG Norah 17% 45% 30% 6% -
16 WANG Callie < 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
17 DHAR Rana 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
18 ALLAIN Seraphina - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10%
19 OVEISSI Leila 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% -
20 DUCKETT Leighton 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
21 TUREKIAN Aleena 2% 30% 43% 21% 4% -
22 FORTIN Emily 41% 44% 14% 1% -
23 FLAHERTY Isabell 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.