Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HSU leah 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
2 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
3 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 99% 92% 60% 14%
5 LEE Alyson 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
6 FAVO Isabella 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
7 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
8 FAN Alexandria 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
9 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 18%
10 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20%
11 LEE Tammy 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
12 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 95% 69% 25% 3%
13 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
14 MARAGH Farrah E. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
15 CHANG Norah 100% 83% 37% 7% -
16 WANG Callie 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
17 DHAR Rana 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
18 ALLAIN Seraphina 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
19 OVEISSI Leila 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
20 DUCKETT Leighton 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 1%
21 TUREKIAN Aleena 100% 98% 68% 25% 4% -
22 FORTIN Emily 100% 59% 15% 2% -
23 FLAHERTY Isabell 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.