Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
2 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
3 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 8%
3 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
5 LAM Alan 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
6 ALI Farhan 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
7 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
8 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
9 SIEDOW William 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
10 AYOTTE James 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
11 AHN EZRA 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
12 GONZALEZ Aaron M 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
13 GUO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
14 BANSAL Arjun 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
15 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 37%
16 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
17 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
18 KE Sebastian 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
19 OZBAY Alp 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
20 JAHAN-PARVAR Kourosh 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
21 CLARK Ian 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
22 KIM Julian 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
23 GONZALEZ Gavin 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
24 HEITFIELD Markus 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
25 CHA Patrick 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
26 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
27 BENNETT Pierce 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
28 KONG Brandon 100% 98% 70% 29% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.