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Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FANG Eason - 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
2 PATEL Rayn - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
3 WANG Max - 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
3 GUREVICH Benjamin - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
5 KURILO Michael - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
5 WANG Justin - - 4% 17% 38% 33% 9%
7 VAID Luke - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
8 HARDRICK Noah 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
9 KIM Samuel - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
10 FEI Danny 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
11 LIU Ryan - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
12 ZHAO David 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
13 FENG Brendan 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
14 LIU Aaron 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
15 HU Harry - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
16 GONG Gavin 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
17 HALL Noah - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 7%
18 BREUER Daniel 3% 26% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
19 MILLER Felix 6% 27% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
20 CHAWLA Abhishek 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
21 MINER Davidson 1% 12% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
22 HONG Jaden - 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
23 SOKOLOV Arseniy 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
24 LEE Gordon 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
25 YANG Justin 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
26 LEE Ezra 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
27 PAUL James < 1% - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
28 GRABOWSKI Stanley 2% 14% 36% 36% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.