Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FANG Eason 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
2 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
3 WANG Max 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
3 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
5 KURILO Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
5 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
7 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
8 HARDRICK Noah 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
9 KIM Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
10 FEI Danny 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
11 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
12 ZHAO David 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
13 FENG Brendan 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
14 LIU Aaron 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 9% 1%
15 HU Harry 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
16 GONG Gavin 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
17 HALL Noah 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 34% 7%
18 BREUER Daniel 100% 97% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
19 MILLER Felix 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
20 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
21 MINER Davidson 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
22 HONG Jaden 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
23 SOKOLOV Arseniy 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
24 LEE Gordon 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
25 YANG Justin 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
26 LEE Ezra 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
27 PAUL James 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
28 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.